Golden Globes predictions: ‘Orange is the New Black’ and ‘Transparent’ split Experts’ votes

Do you think “Orange is the New Black” is a 100% lock to win the Golden Globe for Best TV Comedy Series on Jan. 11? Think again.

While eight of our Globes Experts do predict that the Netflix prison comedy will prevail, there are four Experts who instead cast their votes for Amazon’s family laffer “Transparent.” Hmm, is this quartet of prognosticators onto something?

Golden Globes predictions: Yes, ‘The Affair’ really can take down ‘House of Cards’

Don’t forget, Globes voters love rewarding new series — that’s how “Brooklyn Nine-Nine” won last year — and “Transparent” fits that bill to a tee. But hey, “Orange” can also be considered new to the category since last year it tried its luck, and failed, over on the drama side.

Both shows are hip and buzzy and have lead performers nominated: Taylor Schilling for “Orange” and Jeffrey Tambor for “Transparent.” But “Orange” has an extra bit of support from the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. thanks to Uzo Aduba being nommed in the catch-all TV Supporting Actress race.

Experts predicting “Orange is the New Black”: Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Susan Wloszczyna (

Experts predicting “Transparent”: Thom Geier, Janelle Riley (Variety), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times).

As for the Top 24 Users who did the best at predicting last year’s Golden Globes, 21 are voting for “Orange,” while three users — Beau, FrozenBarb and FilmBuff4L — stand alone in picking “Transparent.”

And all seven of Gold Derby’s Editors are predicting a victory for “Orange.”

Will ‘Orange is the New Black’ win top Golden Globes and SAG Awards?

According to Gold Derby’s overall combined odds, “Orange is the New Black” is in the lead to win this race with 4/11 odds, followed by “Transparent” in second place with 4/1 odds, “Jane the Virgin” in third place with 33/1 odds, “Girls” in fourth place with 50/1 odds and “Silicon Valley” in last place with 100/1 odds.

Do you think “Orange is the New Black” will win the Golden Globe for Best TV Comedy Series? Click here to enter your own predictions for this category and all of the Globes’ top races, or use our easy drag-and-drop menu at the bottom of this post to get started.

Your predictions determine our racetrack odds and you can keep editing them right up until the day of the ceremony. Top score wins $100. You score points based on how accurately you predict the winners (you get more points if you correctly predict a long-shot candidate before anyone else does), and if you’re one of our most accurate predictors, you’ll be included next year among our elite Top 24 Users and have even greater influence over our odds.

Below, watch our new Editors’ Golden Globes predictions slugfest over all the top TV races.

More News from GoldDerby