Oscars predictions: Experts split on Actor with 20 for Eddie Redmayne (‘Theory of Everything’), 8 for Michael Keaton (‘Birdman’)

While 20 of our Oscars experts are predicting that Eddie Redmayne will win Best Actor for “The Theory of Everything,” eight of them expect Michael Keaton to prevail for “Birdman.” This is the first Oscar nomination for each. 

UPDATED: Experts’ Oscars predictions in 24 categories

Redmayne won at the Golden Globes (drama), SAG Awards and BAFTA. He is the 1/2 favorite with 20 Experts backing him: Thelma Adams (ZEALnyc), Kyle Buchanan (Vulture), Mike Cidoni (Associated Press), Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter, Thom Geier, Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Claudia Puig (USA Today), Jenelle Riley (Variety), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times), and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

See Oscar rankings when Experts’ predictions are combined

Keaton also prevailed at the Golden Globes (comedy/musical) and at Critics’ Choice. He is in second place with 12/5 odds and has the support of eight Experts: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Mary Milliken (Reuters), Michael Musto (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), and Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood).

Bradley Cooper (“American Sniper“) has nominations this year for acting and producing. While this marks his third straight year contending as an actor, he is in third place at 50/1. 

Also at 50/1 is rookie nominee Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Imitation Game“).

Rounding out the race is first-time nominee Steve Carell (“Foxcatcher“) with odds of 100/1.

Make your Oscars picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Actor winner using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations this year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the Indie Spirits, Razzies, “Survivor,” “The Amazing Race” and more.

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