Motion Picture Sound Editors awards predictions: ‘Interstellar’ vs. ‘American Sniper’

Four of the five Oscar nominees for Best Sound Editing —  “American Sniper,” “Birdman,”  “Interstellar” and “Unbroken” — face off at the Motion Picture Sound Editors this Sunday. Despite their being eight contenders in the guild equivalent of this Oscars race — Sound Editing (Effects and Foley) — the fifth Oscar nominee, “The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies,” was snubbed in favor of “Captain America: The Winter Soldier,” “Dawn of the Planet of the Apes,” “Fury” and “Guardians of the Galaxy.”

At the MPSE Awards, we are predicting a close race between “Interstellar” and “American Sniper,” with the lead going back and forth between these two contenders. Currently, “Interstellar” has the edge. Conversely, at the Oscars it is “American Sniper” that is ahead (as it is in the Sound Mixing race too with “Whiplash” as a possible spoiler there).

UPDATED: Experts’ Oscars predictions in 24 categories

Last year, “Gravity” won the precursor prize before going to to take Best Sound Editing at the Oscars. However, it didn’t sweep the MPSE as expected. It lost its other two bids: Best Dialogue and ADR went to “Captain Phillips” while Best Music Editing went to “The Great Gatsby.” The other three Oscar nominees for Sound Editing were shut out: “All is Lost,” “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug,” and “Lone Survivor.”

In 2012, MPSE sound effects & foley champ “Skyfall” tied “Zero Dark Thirty,” which had been snubbed by the MPSE, for the Sound Editing Oscar. The other Oscar nominees were “Argo,” “Django Unchained” and “Life of Pi” which had won both the dialogue & ADR and music awards from the guild.

In 2011, “War Horse” won this precursor prize” but lost the Oscar to “Hugo.” The other Oscar nominees were “Drive,” “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo” and “Transformers: Dark of the Moon.” “Super 8,” which led with three MPSE bids, won dialogue & ADR. It was snubbed by the Oscars in both sound categories.

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In 2010, “Inception” won two of its three bids — sound effects & foley and music — while “The Social Network” won dialogue & ADR. “True Grit,” which won over the Cinema Audio Society for its sound mixing, was shut out. At the Oscars, “Inception” prevailed over “Toy Story 3,” “TRON: Legacy,” “True Grit” and “Unstoppable.”

In 2009, “Avatar” won the same two MPSE races as “Inception” but lost the Oscar race to “The Hurt Locker.” Among the other also-rans was “Inglorious Basterds” which had won the dialogue & ADR award at the MPSE.

See latest Oscar rankings when the Experts’ predictions are combined

The 62nd annual edition of these awards are on Feb. 15 at the Westin Bonaventure Hotel in Los Angeles. Skip Lievsay will be feted for his lifetime of achievement while Darren Aronofsky will receive the Filmmaker Award. 

Birdman” and “Dawn of the Planet of the Apes” each reaped a leading three bids for for these prizes, affectionaley dubbed the Golden Reels. “Guardians of the Galaxy,” “Interstellar,” “Unbroken” and “Whiplash” got two apiece while two dozen more films each earned one.

This year’s nominees and predicted winners (in gold) across six categories are as follows (click on each category title to see the full odds):

“American Sniper”
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galaxy

“Dawn of the Planet of the Apes”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“The Imitation Game”
“Still Alice”
“The Theory of Everything”

“Dawn of the Planet of the Apes”
“The Fault in Our Stars”
“Gone Girl”
“Guardians of the Galaxy”

“Big Hero 6”
“Book of Life”
“The Boxtrolls”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2”
“The Lego Movie”

“America – Imagine the World Without Her”
“Deepsea Challenge 3D”
“Glen Campbell … I’ll Be Me”
“Jodorowsky’s Dune”
“Under The Electric Sky”
“Warsaw Uprising”

“Human Capital”
“The Liberator”
“The Raid 2”
“Uzumasa Limelight”

If you haven’t made your MPSE predictions yet, there’s still time. Click here to visit our predictions center, where you can enter your picks or use the easy drag-and-drop menu below to get started with Period/Character Makeup and be in with a chance to win $100 if you get the highest score. 

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