There were some expected results and some surprises last Monday night when “So You Think You Can Dance” narrowed its season 12 lineup to the top 10 dancers, but our users are sure they know who’s going home next according to the strong consensus in our racetrack odds. Team Stage will lose Derek Piquette, while Team Street will bid farewell to Jessica “J.J.” Rabone.
A whopping 66% of users are betting on Piquette’s ouster, giving him 8/15 odds. He was at the bottom last week but saved by Twitter fans, who chose to eliminate his teammates Alexia Meyer and Kate Harpootlian instead. That was Piquette’s third time in the bottom three, and with the competition down to its most elite competitors, there may be no other dancers left to cushion his fall.
But 25% of users say Edson Juarez will be eliminated instead, giving him 3/1 odds. Of the five remaining stage dancers, he is the only one besides Piquette who has ever been in danger before, having landed in the bottom three in “Top 18 Week.”
For Team Street, 64% of users are picking Rabone to be sent home, giving her 4/7 odds. She has been in the bottom three once before, during “Top 16 Week,” but not last Monday when she made it safely through to the top 10. However, the judges were unimpressed by her pin-up-themed jazz number with Harpootlian – who was eliminated just a few minutes later – and the only other remaining Team Street member who has ever been in danger, Eddie “Neptune” Eskridge, wowed with his racism-themed contemporary dance and his heartfelt explanation of what it meant to him.
Neptune ranks third in our predictions with 8/1 odds of being eliminated, with 11% of users anticipating his exit. In second place behind Rabone is Megz Alfonso, who has always been safe but delivered a poorly received hip-hop routine with Piquette last week that could land her in the bottom three for the first time.
Who should you predict? User Michael Jenkins, aka EmmyLoser, topped our leaderboard for last week’s show and currently has the best predictions score for the season to date. He says, “Generally, I bet the most points on the predictions with the longest odds to maximize my potential winnings, unless I feel really unsure about the prediction.” However, he adds that “it will just be harder to predict from here” now that we’ve reached the top 10. “I feel like the winner will ultimately come from Team Stage, but even among them, Hailee, Gaby and Jim have all proven to be very strong contestants.”
Jenkins agrees with our consensus that Piquette and Rabone will be eliminated, and he thinks Juarez and Alfonso will be in the bottom but safe. He has placed his 500-point big bet on Alfonso at 11/2 odds. If he’s right, that prediction will earn him 2,750 points, which could mean the difference between winning and losing our contest as we use those point totals to break ties if multiple users have the best accuracy percentage.
In our “So You Think You Can Dance” predictions center, you get to answer the following questions each week:
Which STAGE dancer will be eliminated?
Which STREET dancer will be eliminated?
Which STAGE dancer will be in the bottom but safe?
Which STREET dancer will be in the bottom but safe?
Who will win ‘So You Think You Can Dance’?
At the end of each week, the eligible user with the highest prediction accuracy and most points will win a $100 Amazon gift certificate, so it’s beneficial to keep coming back often and making/updating your predictions.
Which dancers do you like (and dislike) the most? Are you on Team Stage or Team Street? Sound off in the comments section below, and join the discussion in Gold Derby’s reality TV forum.
Photo: Derek Piquette in “Top 14 Week.” Credit: Adam Rose/FOX
Photo: Jessica Rabone performs in “Top 14 Week.” Credit: Adam Rose/FOX