‘Survivor’ predictions: 5 reasons you’re all wrong about Dan Foley being eliminated next

According to Gold Derby’s combined predictions, Dan Foley has the best chance of heading home this week with 3/1 odds. But I don’t think Dan is going anywhere … at least not yet, anyway. Scroll down to see my five reasons why. Hurry — make your predictions for next week’s episode and you could win our prize of a $100 Amazon gift certificate. It’s fun and easy, so start now by scrolling down and predicting who will be eliminated next.

‘Survivor: Worlds Apart’ recap: Did Joe Anglim and Jenn Brown survive Episode 9?

1.) He’s unlikable … which is good.
Sure, Dan isn’t a fan favorite like Joe Anglim, but at this stage in the game being unlikable can actually help you get further. Don’t forget, castaways will want to keep someone like Dan around so that they can beat him in the finals.

2.) He’s in the power alliance.
With only nine players left in the game, Dan is in the power alliance that’s composed of his fellow Blue Collar tribe mates, plus Will Sims, Tyler Fredrickson and Carolyn Rivera. In fact, unless something crazy happens, I think only two people are really on the chopping block this week: Jenn Brown and Shirin Oskooi.

3.) Jenn and Shirin are alone.
These two have played a hard-fought game, but their time is nearly up. Jenn’s essentially already thrown in the towel, while Shirin’s got nobody else to side with. According to our Episode 10 predictions, Jenn is in our second-place position of being voted off with 7/2 odds, while Shirin is (strangely) way down in our fifth spot with 10/1 odds.

4.) He survived the women’s alliance.
While it’s true Dan lacks communication skills — particularly with some of the women — he still managed to survive the cross hairs of the women’s alliance two weeks ago.

5.) Dan’s BFF is Mike.
Dan and Mike Holloway are extremely close on the island, particularly in light of Mike’s #2 Kelly Remington being voted off. With fellow Blue Collars Rodney Lavoie and Sierra Thomas showing signs of disloyalty, that’ll only make Dan and Mike’s bond stronger. And, oh yeah, Mike still has that hidden Immunity idol. Would he give it to Dan if he needed to?

Do you think Dan’s torch will be snuffed next? There’s still time to visit our predictions center and make/update your forecasts before voting closes Wednesday at 5 p.m. PT. Don’t forget, whichever user earns the highest prediction accuracy and most points will win a $100 Amazon gift certificate.

Who will win ‘Survivor: Worlds Apart’? See exclusive predictions

Congratulations to our user Sunhound for winning this week’s episode contest. If eligible, this reader will win a $100 Amazon gift certificate for reaping 80% accuracy and a 50,364 point score when predicting Episode 9, titled “Livin’ on the Edge.” See contest rules.

Sunhound’s winning predictions were that Joe would be voted out, that a hidden Immunity idol would not be played, that nobody would quit the game, and that Dan Foley, Shirin Oskooi, Sierra Thomas, Mike Holloway and Tyler Fredrickson would all win the Reward challenge. He only missed out on predicting who’d win the Immunity challenge, forecasting Jenn instead of the actual champ Tyler.

Joe was ranked first in Gold Derby’s predictions to go home with final odds of 17/10 (click on the left-hand chart for the episode’s full odds). Sunhound put his 200 point bet on that prediction and netted 320 points. However, he nabbed an astounding 50,000 points by correctly calling all five of this week’s Reward challenge winners with his special 500 point bet: Wow!

Whose torch do you think will be snuffed next? Be sure to visit our predictions center and make/update your forecasts before voting closes Wednesday at 5 p.m. PT. The user with the highest prediction accuracy and most points will win a $100 Amazon gift certificate.

‘Survivor: Worlds Apart’ predictions: Is Mike Holloway dark horse to win?

Where do you fall on our overall Season 30 leaderboard?

After a flip-flop battle between Smartdude and Taloson for first place, Smartdude took the lead again this week. His overall season accuracy is now 67%, just ahead of Taloson who’s at 66%. Talk about a true nail-biter!

Benutty is just behind our frontrunners in third place with 65% accuracy, while this week’s episode leader Sunhound is in fourth place with 62% and JasonNolette is in fifth place with 56%.

Can YOU beat these frontrunners to win our prizes? Then be sure to take part in our “Survivor” prediction contest. We’re giving away $100 Amazon gift certificates to our weekly winners plus at season’s end. The deadline for each episode is Wednesday at 5 p.m. PT.

Our current overall leader Smartdude predicted Joe’s elimination this week. However, he didn’t even have Hali in his predictions to get the boot in Episode 8 (see complete predix), proving that it’s possible to do well in our contests without getting everything right.

Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean answering that week’s questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a longshot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points, so don’t take them for granted.

To vote for who think will go home next on “Survivor,” drag contestants over from the left to the right and arrange them in your predicted order. For example, if you think Jenn will be eliminated, make sure you put her in first place. You can continue to update and change your predictions throughout the week, just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice.

‘Survivor: Worlds Apart’ poll: Your LEAST favorite castaways are Rodney, Dan, …

Average Gold Derby users just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can change them later as often as you like.

We are forecasting everything from the results on TV shows like “The Voice,” “Survivor,” “Dancing with the Stars,” “American Idol” and “The Amazing Race” to the winners of the Emmys (Primetime and Daytime), Tonys and ACM Awards.

Get started by making your prediction as to which castaway will be eliminated next using our easy drag-and-drop menu below our exit interview with Joe. And be sure to sound off on the current season of “Survivor” in Gold Derby’s reality TV forum.

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