Emmy predictions: Tina Fey has leading 8-to-13 odds to win for ‘Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt’

Tina Fey Emmy Award Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt 30 Rock

In the short space of the 21st century, Tina Fey has already won eight Emmy Awards and is heavily favored to win her ninth at Saturday’s Creative Arts Emmys for guesting on “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt,” the Netflix comedy she co-created. 

Related: Watch our editor Emmy slugfests predicting all four guest acting races

Her Emmy haul to date has been across five categories for both “30 Rock” — Best Comedy Series (2007, 2008, 2009); Best Comedy Writing (2008, 2013); and Best Comedy Actress (2008) — and “Saturday Night Live — Best Variety Writing (2002);  and Comedy Guest Actress (2009).

This year, she brings her career total to 39 nominations with five bids: Comedy Series (“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”) and this guest appearance; hosting and writing the Golden Globe Awards; and writing the “SNL” 40th anniversary special.

Fey submitted  “Kimmy Goes to Court,” the second of her three appearances as incompetent attorney Marcia Clark. In the episode, Kimmy (Ellie Kemper) returns to Indiana to testify against the Reverend Richard Wayne Gary Wayne (Jon Hamm) who is on trial for imprisoning her and three other women in a bunker for 15 years. Her attorneys Marcia and Chris (Jerry Minor) prove to be no match for the charismatic Wayne, and Kimmy’s forced to take matters into her own hands.

According to exclusive Gold Derby odds, Fey is favored to win with overwhelming 8/13 odds. She is followed by Joan Cusack (“Shameless“), at 13/2, for her fifth consecutive bid in this race. However, while she in the majority episodes in the first four seasons, she was only in three this year. Her submission,“Milk of the Gods,” is the season premiere.

First-time nominee Gaby Hoffmann (“Girls“) is at 12/1.  She was in four episodes last season but only two this year as pregnant Caroline Sackler and submitted the second of those, “Home Birth.”  Also at 12/1 is Emmy champ Christine Baranski (“The Big Bang Theory“) who was nominated for “The Maternal Combustion,” her only appearance as neuroscientist Dr. Beverly Hofstadter this season. She has contended twice before. 

Writing champ Pamela Adlon (“Louie“) is in fifth place at 14/1 and submitted “Bobby’s House, the second of three appearances as Pamela this season,

Elizabeth Banks (“Modern Family“) is at 33/1 and was nominated for “Fight or Flight,” her only appearance this season as partier Sal. 

Related: Watch interviews with Ellie Kemper, Tituss Burgess and Jane Krakowski

Will Fey win her ninth Emmy Award this weekend? Make your own Emmys picks now to the right or at the bottom of this post, and you could win one of our three prizes ($500, $300 and $200 Amazon gift certificates) as well as a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Emmys line-up).

Last year, our Experts had an accuracy rate of 58.62% when it came to predicting the Emmy winners. That score tied them with both Gold Derby’s Editors and the Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best at predicting last year’s Emmys). Our Users scored  51.72% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)

Which group will be victorious this year? Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Emmys last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar.

As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

Photo: Tina Fey in “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt.” Credit: Netflix

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