Tony Awards cheat sheet: You should predict ‘Curious Incident,’ ‘Fun Home,’ Helen Mirren, …

Looking for a handy cheat sheet before entering our contest to predict Tuesday’s Tony Awards nominations for a chance to win $100 and a place of honor on our leaderboard? Then take a look at our racetrack odds below. The predicted winners are indicated in gold (be sure to click on each category title for an in-depth look at that race).

These official odds are based on a combination of four sets of forecasts at Gold Derby: ExpertsEditors, the Top 24 Users (at last year’s awards) and All Users. Last year, our Experts tied the Top 24 Users (those users with the best scores predicting the 2013 nominations) with an overall accuracy rate of 86.67%. Our Editors came in at 80.42% while all Users averaged 67.92%. (Click on each group’s name to see their overall results from last year.)

Tony Awards predictions slugfest:
David Sheward vs. Paul Sheehan (Podcast)

All of us at Gold Derby are hoping to do even better this year, and you can help. 

Get started by predicting the Best Musical roster by clicking on the icon to the right or by using our easy drag-and-drop menu below. 

Your picks will be pooled with all of the others to generate our official racetrack odds. Have this year’s best predictions and you’ll win a $100 Amazon gift card (if you qualify according to our contest rules).

In order to win our contest, you must have the highest accuracy at predicting the nominees in the top eight categories (four productions and four acting). But you may need more than that. If more than one user has the best percentage, the tie will be broken by most game points. So, remember to place your three super bets when making predictions. Each user gets one super bet of 500 points and two of 200 points with all the other categories worth 100 points. Strategy is key. Place those super bets wisely and they could crown you our winner.

That’s what happened when we tallied up prediction scores for last year’s Tony Awards nominations. Nine users were tied at the top with a jaw-dropping 95% accuracy. However, J F Petsche was declared the winner because he scored 6,046 points (including 2,915 points for Play Revival where he had placed his 500-point bet). Compare that to second-place finisher Ted Stevenson  who scored 5,674 points (he put his 500-point bet on Musical Revival and earned 2,333 points there). 

If you’re not yet registered, click here to do so. You can sign up with an email account or log in with one click using Facebook, Twitter, or Google. And meet our previous contest champs. You could join them on our leaderboard

Who REALLY deserves to win? Debate in our lively forums


“Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time” – 3/2
“Wolf Hall” – 9/2
“The Audience” – 5/1
“Hand to God” – 12/1

“The Elephant Man” – 2/1
“You Can’t Take It With You” – 4/1
“Skylight” – 11/2
“It’s Only a Play” – 11/2

Alex Sharp, “Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time” – 13/8
Bradley Cooper “The Elephant Man” – 9/2
Ben Miles, “Wolf Hall” – 11/2
Steven Boyer, “Hand to Godl” – 11/2
Bill Nighy, “Skylight” – 9/1

Helen Mirren, “The Audience” – 17/10
Carey Mulligan, “Skylight” – 9/2
Elisabeth Moss, “The Heidi Chronicles” – 15/2
Glenn Close, “A Delicate Balance” – 9/1
Ruth Wilson, “Constellations” – 10/1


“Fun Home” – 15/8
“Something Rotten” – 10/3
“An American in Paris” – 4/1
“Finding Neverland” – 8/1

“The King and I” – 1/1
“On the Twentieth Century” – 14/5
“On the Town” – 4/1

Brian D’Arcy James, “Something Rotten” – 13/5
Michael Cerveris, “Fun Home” – 14/5
Robert Fairchild, “An American in Paris” – 9/2
Peter Gallagher, “On the Twentieth Century” – 10/1
Matthew Morrison, “Finding Neverland” – 16/1

Kelli O’Hara, “The King and I” – 23/10
Kristin Chenoweth, “On the Twentieth Century” – 3/1
Chita Rivera, “The Visit” – 10/3
Leanne Cope, “An American in Paris” -12/1
Laura Michelle Kelly, “Finding Neverland” – 25/1

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