As predicted, Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“The Revenant“) won Best Director at the Oscars on Sunday. He was Gold Derby’s frontrunner with odds of 2/9 to prevail, just one year after winning for “Birdman.” The last time someone won back-to-back Oscars for Best Director was Joseph L. Mankiewicz, who prevailed for “A Letter to Three Wives” (1949) and “All About Eve” (1950). Prior to that, John Ford had won two of his record four Oscars consecutively for helming “The Grapes of Wrath” (1940) and “How Green Was My Valley” (1941).
Our official odds are derived from the predictions of 28 Expert film journalists along with our seven in-house Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscars, the All-Star Users who did the best for the past two years combined and the thousands of entrants in our prediction contest who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
Twenty-four of our 28 experts thought Inarritu would prevail: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox New), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Piya Sinha-Roy (Reuters), Nicole Sperling (EW), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
The four holdouts were Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Tim Gray (Variety), and Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), who all thought George Miller (“Mad Max: Fury Road“) would upset in this category.
Among the seven editors, all seven were forecasting Inarritu: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble, Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan.
Also predicting Inarritu to win were 22 of our Top 24 Users. The other two votes went to Miller.
And all 24 of our All-Star Users predicted Inarritu.
Photo Credit: Moviestore Collection/REX Shutterstock/REX