Will Viola Davis‘ (“Fences”) loss in the Best Actess Oscar race be Amy Adams‘ (“Arrival”) gain? For months many awards pundits assumed Davis would campaign in lead at the Oscars since that’s where she won a Tony Award in 2010. And, according to the predictions of our Oscar experts derived from major media outlets, she enjoyed second-place odds to win that race as of one week ago. But this category is so stacked that many fans of Davis had their fingers crossed the actress would campaign in the supporting race, where there’s much more breathing room.
Now that it’s been confirmed Davis will campaign in the supporting category this awards season, that opens up a slot in our experts’ Best Actress rankings — one that they believe will now go to Adams. If our experts are correct, this would be Adams’ sixth Oscar nomination after one prior loss in lead for “American Hustle” (2013) and four unsuccessful bids in supporting: “Junebug” (2005), “Doubt” (2008), “The Fighter” (2010) and “The Master” (2012).
The other four Best Actress contenders have been appearing at the top of our experts’ Oscar rankings for weeks now: Emma Stone (“La La Land”) who continues to lead with 23/10 odds, Natalie Portman (“Jackie”) and Ruth Negga (“Loving”) who are close behind and tied with 4/1 odds, and Annette Bening (“20th Century Women”) who’s in fourth place at 15/2 odds.
Thirteen of our 24 Oscar experts now think that Adams will be nominated for Best Actress: Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Michael Mustow (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Ent. Weekly), Nicole Sperling (Ent. Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com). See more Oscar rankings from our Experts.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how Davis is faring in our Oscar odds. Since Oscar voters can place her wherever they choose, we will continue to leave her as option for both lead and supporting categories. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on January 24 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.