Will BAFTAs preview Oscars again?

On Friday, the British Academy of Film and Television Academy (BAFTA) will unveil the nominations for the 69th annual edition of its movie awards. Since the BAFTAs moved up in 2000 to take place while academy members are voting in the final round, these kudos have foreseen eight of the 14 Best Picture Oscar winners.

Last year, the BAFTAs went for “Boyhood” over eventual Oscar champ “Birdman.” However, they got it right in the previous five years of the expanded Best Picture race: “The Hurt Locker” (2009), “The King’s Speech” (2010), “The Artist” (2011), “Argo” (2012) and “12 Years a Slave” (2013). 

Let’s take a closer look at each of these half dozen years and see how often (or not) the Brits hit the bullseye when it came to predicting the Oscar winners. 

Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions

Last year, “Boyhood” was only in contention for five awards but won three big prizes: Best Picture, Director (Richard Linklater) and Best Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette). Only Arquette went on to win an Oscar. Conversely, “Birdman” claimed just one of its 10 bids here: Best Cinematography. It then prevailed in that Oscar race as well as Picture, Director (Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu) and Original Screenplay.

The Grand Budapest Hotel” won five of its leading 11 BAFTA nominations: Original Screenplay, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, Production Design and Score. It repeated in all those at the Oscars but for Score. “Whiplash” went three for five by claiming Best Supporting Actor (J.K. Simmons), Editing and Sound; it also pulled off that hat trick at the Oscars. And leads Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything”) and Julianne Moore (“Still Alice”) got a chance to practice their Oscar acceptance speeches. 

In 2013, “12 Years a Slave” won just two of its 10 BAFTA bids — Picture and Actor (Chiwetel Ejiofor). At the Oscars, “12 Years” won Best Picture but Ejiofor lost to Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club”) who had been snubbed by BAFTA. “12 Years” also won Oscars for Supporting Actress Lupita Nyongo over, among others, BAFTA champ Jennifer Lawrence (“American Hustle”) and John Ridley who claimed Adapted Screenplay over rivals that included BAFTA winner “Philomena.” 

“Gravity” won six of its leading 11 BAFTA nominations: Director (Alfonso Cuaron), Cinematography, Score, Sound, Visual Effects and British Film. At the Oscars, it repeated in Director, Cinematography, Score, Sound (twice) and Visual Effects and also took the Editing Oscar (BAFTA winner “Rush” was snubbed in this race).

The other BAFTA/Oscar double dippers were: Best Actress Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine”), Animated Feature “Frozen,” Foreign Language Film “The Great Beauty” and “The Great Gatsby” for both Costume and Production Design. 

In other Oscar races, BAFTA Supporting Actor winner Barkhad Abdi (“Captain Phillips”) was bested by the BAFTA-snubbed Jared Leto (“Dallas Buyers Club”); Spike Jonze won Original Screenplay for “Her” over, among others, the BAFTA-winning “American Hustle”); and the makeup/hairstyle award went to “Dallas Buyers Club,” which had been shut out at BAFTA (the winner of that race, “American Hustle,” was not nominated at the Oscars). 

Click here to see odds and rankings of our Oscar Experts

In 2012, “Argo” won only three of its seven BAFTA races, but they were big ones: Picture, Director (Ben Affleck) and Editing. While Affleck was snubbed by the Oscars, his film won Best Picture there as well as the editing and adapted screenplay prizes (“Silver Linings Playbook” had claimed the latter at the BAFTAs.) 

Other repeat winners with both the BAFTAs and Oscars included: “Les Miserables,” which claimed  Supporting Actress (Anne Hathaway), Makeup & Hair and Sound at both kudos (as well as Production Design at BAFTA); “Django Unchained” which took Supporting Actor (Christoph Waltz) and Original Screenplay at both; and Daniel Day-Lewis (“Lincoln”) who was named Best Actor on both sides of the pond. 

In 2011, “The Artist” won seven of its leading 12 BAFTA bids — Best Picture, Director & Original Screenplay (Michel Hazanavicius), Actor (Jean Dujardin), Cinematography, Costume Design and Score. At the Oscars, it repeated in five of those — Picture, Director, Actor, Costume Design and Score. 

“The Iron Lady” won two of its three BAFTA bids: Best Actress (Meryl Streep) and Makeup and repeated with both at the Oscars.  And “Hugo,” which reaped nine BAFTA nods, won two as well — Production Design and Sound. At the Oscars, it won both those plus Cinematography, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. “The Help” won just one of its five BAFTA races — Supporting Actress (Octavia Spencer); she also claimed the Oscar. And Christopher Plummer (“Beginners”) became the oldest BAFTA acting champ with his Supporting Actor win for “Beginnners” before doing the same at the Oscars.

Click here to see ups and downs of Oscar races over entire awards season

In 2010, “The King’s Speech” won seven of its 14 BAFTA bids — Picture, Actor (Colin Firth), Supporting Actor (Geoffrey Rush), Supporting Actress (Helena Bonham Carter), Original Screenplay, Score and Best British Film. At the Oscars, it only repeated for Best Picture, Actor and Original Screenplay. While helmer Tom Hooper had been bested at BAFTA by David Fincher (“The Social Network”), he won the Academy Award. 

At BAFTA, “The Social Network” had batted .500, prevailing in three of its six races — Director, Adapted Screenplay, Editing. It won the latter two at the Oscars as well as Score. And while Natalie Portman (“Black Swan”) repeated as Best Actress at the Oscars, the supporting awards went to “The Fighter” featured players Christian Bale (who had contended at BAFTA) and Melissa Leo (who had not). 

In 2009, “The Hurt Locker” won six of its eight BAFTA bids and repeated at the Oscars for Best Picture, Director (Kathryn Bigelow), Original Screenplay, Editing and Sound. “Avatar” prevailed in just two of its eight BAFTA categories — Production Design and Visual Effects — and also won those at the Oscars as well as Cinematography over BAFTA champ “Hurt Locker.”

“An Education” took just one of its eight nominations with a Best Actress win for Carey Mulligan (“The Blind Side” starring Oscar winner Sandra Bullock was not released in time to contend). “Up in the Air” went one for six winning Adapted Screenplay; it was shut out of the Oscars, losing that writing race to “Precious,” which had come out on top in one of its four BAFTA categories, Supporting Actress (Mo’Nique) who also won at the Oscars. The lone win for “Inglorious Basterds” at both awards was for Supporting Actor Christoph Waltz. The BAFTAs went for native Colin Firth (“A Single Man”) over eventual Oscar winner Jeff Bridges (“Crazy Heart”).

Dish all the Oscar races in our red-hot forums with Hollywood insiders

What do you think will win Best Picture? Make your Oscar predictions using the menu to the right or below. 

You’ll compete to win our contest prizes for best picks — $500 (first place), $300 (second place) and $200 (third place) in Amazon gift certificates — a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Oscar nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.

Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar.

Photo credits: BAFTA Awards: BAFTA; Academy Awards: AMPAS

More News from GoldDerby