While HBO’s “Veep” is the Best Comedy Series leader at the Emmy Awards with 16 total nominations, Gold Derby’s experts drawn from major media outlets warn to watch out for “Transparent.” Among these 13 Emmy seers, seven have the Amazon dramedy in their #2 positions, putting it in prime position for an upset. Since “Veep” has overwhelming support to win with 1/2 odds, let’s take a closer look at our experts’ second-place predictions.
Here are the seven prognosticators who think “Transparent” (4/1 odds) has the best chance of upsetting “Veep”: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Indiewire) and Adnan Virk (ESPN).
Meanwhile, these five experts have ABC’s “Black-ish” (11/2 odds) in their #2 positions: Eric Deggans (NPR), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).
And one expert — Glenn Whipp (LA Times) — goes rogue in thinking Netflix’s “Master of None” (25/1 odds) is the comedy that has the best chance of taking down “Veep.”
The writing and directing races at the Emmys are often seen as a crystal ball that foretells what’ll win Best Drama Series and Best Comedy Series. While “Veep” has leading three bids for directing and two for writing, “Transparent,” “Master of None” and “Silicon Valley” (16/1 odds) also earned nominations in one or both of these races.
The other three nominees — “Black-ish,” “Modern Family” (40/1 odds) and “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” (33/1 odds) — were snubbed in these key writing/directing categories, so it’ll be tough for them to break through as Best Comedy Series. Don’t forget, it’s now been a whopping 14 years since “Friends” won without corresponding writing or directing bids in 2002.
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions right here. You’ll compete to win our contest prizes for best picks — $500 (first place), $300 (second place) and $200 (third place) in Amazon gift certificates — a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Emmy nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.