Sorry, Peter Dinklage: Even though you’re just one Emmy Award away from tying the record of three wins set by Aaron Paul (“Breaking Bad”) in the Best Drama Supporting Actor race, our experts drawn from major media outlets think that your “Game of Thrones” co-star Kit Harington will take you down at the finish line. Let the games begin!
Harington, who many thought would be snubbed for an Emmy nomination, now has the backing of eight experts who’ve chimed in with their early predictions: Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times). This support translates to leading 3/2 odds.
Meanwhile, Dinklage only has two experts in his corner, resulting in 21/10 odds: Anne Thompson (Indiewire) and Adnan Virk (ESPN). Dinklage prevailed in 2011 under the blue ribbon panel system where a small number of Emmy voters signed affidavits that they watched episode submissions, but he also won last year under the new popular voting system. Does that mean he’s truly unbeatable going forward?
The remaining four of our 14 journalists believe that Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”) will earn a make-up trophy following last year’s shocking loss for the AMC drama: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed). This puts him in third place with 10/3 odds.
Coming in fourth and fifth place are Michael Kelly (“House of Cards”) and Ben Mendelsohn (“Bloodline”), respectively. Both supporting players earned their first career nominations last year and are now back in the running with odds of 12/1 (for Kelley) and 40/1 (for Mendelsohn).
And 2014 nominee Jon Voight returns to the lineup for Showtime’s “Ray Donovan,” which over-performed in nominations this year with five bids. This four-time Oscar nominee and one-time champ (“Coming Home” in 1978) trails in sixth place with 50/1 odds.
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions right here. You’ll compete to win our contest prizes for best picks — $500 (first place), $300 (second place) and $200 (third place) in Amazon gift certificates — a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Emmy nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.