Hey, Rami Malek: Is your Emmy Awards speech ready? According to our Emmy experts drawn from major media outlets, the “Mr. Robot” breakout star has leading 3/2 odds to take down his closest rivals — Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”) and Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”) — in the Best Drama Actor category. Let’s take a closer look at this tight three-way race below.
With the departures of recent Emmy champs Jon Hamm (“Mad Men” in 2015), Bryan Cranston (“Breaking Bad” in 2008-2010, 2014) and Jeff Daniels (“The Newsroom” in 2013), a new winner will be crowned in the race. Seven of the 14 expert journalists who’ve piped in with their early Emmy predictions say Malek will triumph on his first nomination: Eric Deggans (NPR), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Ken Tucker (Yahoo), Glenn Whipp (LA Times) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).
Spacey is a two-time Oscar champ (“American Beauty” in 1999 and “The Usual Suspects” in 1995), though he’s never won an Emmy despite four prior bids for acting and four for producing. However, four experts think his losing streak will finally end, which translates to 21/10 odds: Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Anne Thompson (Indiewire) and Adnan Virk (ESPN).
And a trio of journalists — Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Joyce Eng (TV Guide) and Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo) — think that Odenkirk will win an acting Emmy to go along with his two writing trophies for “Saturday Night Live” (1989) and “The Ben Stiller Show” (1993). That support is good enough for third-place odds of 9/2.
Also in contention is critical favorite Matthew Rhys (“The Americans”). After four seasons playing Russian spy Philip Jennings on the FX drama, Rhys finally earned his first nom and now has 10/1 odds to win. The show also was nominated for Best Drama Series, while his co-star Keri Russell earned a first-ever bid as well. Might voters at last be ready to salute “The Americans”?
Two Best Drama Actor nominees from 2015 earned repeat nominations this year: Kyle Chandler (“Bloodline”) and Liev Schreiber (“Ray Donovan”). Chandler (18/1 odds) was a surprise winner in 2011 for the final year of “Friday Night Lights,” so it’s clear voters are fans of his work. And while Schreiber (40/1 odds) has yet to win an Emmy, “Ray Donovan” over-performed in nominations this year with five bids including co-star Jon Voight and guest actor Hank Azaria.
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