Emmy for Best Movie/Mini Actress: Sarah Paulson (‘People v. O.J. Simpson’) has leading 2-to-7 odds to win

After four losses at the Emmy Awards for “Game Change” (2012) and “American Horror Story” (2013-15), will Sarah Paulson finally prevail for “The People v. O.J. Simpson”? She plays embattled prosecutor Marcia Clark in FX’s limited series and has overwhelming support from our Emmy experts drawn from major media outlets to win Best Movie/Mini Actress. (She’s also nominated in the supporting race for “American Horror Story: Hotel.”) Which of Paulson’s competitors has the best chance of pulling off a major Emmys upset?

Sign up to get Gold Derby’s free newsletter with experts’ latest predictions and breaking news

All 13 expert journalists who’ve piped in with their early Emmy predictions think Paulson will win the lead actress race, which translates to leading 2/7 odds. They are: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Ken Tucker (Yahoo), Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).

In the battle for second place, 10 experts have Kirsten Dunst (“Fargo”) in that slot following her recent Critics’ Choice Award victory. We know voters are watching “Fargo” as it earned a whopping 18 nominations for FX, just slightly less than the 22 noms for “The People v. O.J. Simpson.” She has 9/2 odds to take down Paulson.

Two other experts have Kerry Washington (“Confirmation”) in their #2 positions, resulting in odds of 9/1. This two-time Emmy nominee for “Scandal” could easily win a popular vote thanks to her real-life (and timely) role as Anita Hill on the HBO telefilm about the controversial swearing-in of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas (played by Wendell Pierce).

Join the live Emmy Awards debate going on right now in our feisty forums

Season two of ABC’s “American Crime” reaped two bids in this race: Lili Taylor (20/1 odds) and last year’s contender Felicity Huffman (33/1 odds). Taylor could upset based on the strength of her heralded performance, while Huffman is already an Emmy winner for the first season of “Desperate Housewives” in 2005.

Broadway legend Audra McDonald (“Lady Day at Emerson’s Bar and Grill”) rounds out the category for the HBO adaptation of her Tony-winning play. McDonald won her first Emmy last year for Best Special Class Program for “Live From Lincoln Center,” but has yet to win an acting Emmy despite setting a record of six wins at the Tony Awards. She trails with 40/1 odds.

Make your Emmy predictions — CLICK HERE
Win $500, top spot on our leaderboard & a place in next year’s Top 24

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions right here. You’ll compete to win our contest prizes for best picks — $500 (first place), $300 (second place) and $200 (third place) in Amazon gift certificates — a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Emmy nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.

More News from GoldDerby