[WATCH] Emmy predictions slugfest for Best Movie/Mini Writing: Which ‘People v. O.J. Simpson’ episode will win?

Will “The People v. O.J. Simpson,” “Fargo” or “The Night Manager” take home the Emmy Award for Best Movie/Mini Writing? Recently, I met via webcam (watch above) with my fellow contributing writers Amanda Spears and Riley Chow to decipher which series, and more specifically which episode, could be out front to win.

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The six nominees this year are:

“Fargo” Season 2
“Palindrome” (Noah Hawley)
“Loplop” (Bob DeLaurentis)

“The Night Manager”
All six episodes written by David Farr

“The People v. O.J. Simpson”
“From The Ashes of Tragedy” (Scott Alexander and Larry Karaszewski)
“The Race Card” (Joe Robert Cole)
“Marcia, Marcia, Marcia” (D.V. DeVincentis)

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While we all acknowledge that “The People v. O.J. Simpson” has the greatest amount of support of the three nominated programs with 22 noms overall, we struggle to decide which of its three nominated episodes could win.

Amanda makes a strong case for “Marcia, Marcia, Marcia,” due to the large amount of buzz the episode received, particularly for Sarah Paulson’s performance, as well as its topical treatment of the portrayal of women in the media. On the other hand, Riley thinks voters could want to reward the first episode, “From the Ashes of Tragedy,” but they may simply tick off “The Race Card” because of its provocative title.

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“Fargo” also has the potential to split its base of support between its two nominated hours. While Riley points out that “Loplop” appears to be the most acclaimed episode of the season, I argue that its buzz mostly comes from Kirsten Dunst’s performance, not its script. I also note that the season finale, “Palindrome,” was “oddly anticlimactic” and therefore may not have a strong chance of winning.

The potential for both “Fargo” and “O.J.” to divide their support among multiple episodes leads us to strongly consider betting on “The Night Manager” to win. As Amanda points out, we’ve seen some “very noticeable upsets in this category,” like back in 2014 when Steven Moffat won for “Sherlock: His Last Vow,” beating frontrunner Larry Kramer for the HBO film adaptation of “The Normal Heart.” While Riley points out that “The Night Manager” seems like “flashy popcorn fare,” we all seem to support the theory based solely on our understanding of the new system of plurality voting at the Emmys.

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