Golden Globes: Oscar predictions crystal ball gets cloudy

Golden Globe nominations will be announced on Dec. 12. That is 24 days before Oscar voters begin filling in their nomination ballots on Jan. 5, 2017. These prizes, bestowed by the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn., will be handed out three days later – on Jan. 8 — with Oscar voting continuing until Jan. 13.

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Over the decades, the Globes, now in its 74th year, has ranked as one of the best indicators of what will win at the Academy Awards. But last year was an exception to that rule with only two of the Golden Globe winners going on to claim Oscars.

Yes, both groups awarded Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Revenant”) and Brie Larson (“Room”) for their leading performances (the pair contended in drama at the Globes). However, while all of the other Globe champs — “The Revenant” and “The Martian” for best drama and comedy/musical respectively, Matt Damon (“The Martian”) and Jennifer Lawrence (“Joy”) for comedy leads, and Sylvester Stallone (“Creed”) and Kate Winslet (“Steve Jobs”) for supporting — contended at the Oscars a few weeks later, none of them prevailed there.

Compare that to 2014, when all four of the individual Oscar winners for acting — leads Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything”) and Julianne Moore (“Still Alice”) as well as supporting players J.K. Simmons (“Whiplash”), and Patricia Arquette (“Boyhood”) — picked up prizes from the HFPA first.

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With separate awards for drama and comedy/musical films, the Globes doubles its chances of getting Best Picture right. In 2014, HFPA voters went with “The Grand Budapest Hotel” over eventual Oscar champ “Birdman” for Best Comedy/Musical while on the drama side the Globe went to “Boyhood.” In 2013, “12 Years a Slave” won Best Drama over, among others, its closest Oscar rival “Gravity” and went on to claim the Best Picture award as well. Likewise in 2012 when “Argo” won here first over, among others, “Life of Pi,” before prevailing at the Academy Awards.

Predict the Golden Globe nominations now; change them till December 12

Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions. What movies and performers will do well with the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. voters? Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how it’s faring in our Golden Globe odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on December 12 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.

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