Golden Globe film predictions: ‘La La Land’ is unbeatable in comedy/musical categories

La La Land” opened December 9, just three days before the announcement of the Golden Globe nominations, and we think the cast and crew are likely to wake up to good news. We expect the film to sweep the musical categories and more.

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These official odds are derived from the predictions of leading film Experts, Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Golden Globe TV nominations, the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ Golden Globe TV noms, and hundreds of total Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.

“La La Land” gets leading 3/2 odds to win Best Film Comedy/Musical, as well as Best Film Comedy/Musical Actor (Ryan Gosling) and Best Film Comedy/Musical Actress (Emma Stone). Beyond that we predict Damien Chazelle will win Best Director (9/5 odds), which combines all directors of comedies, musicals and dramas just like the Oscars do, and the film is also a strong bet for a Best Screenplay nomination (4/1 odds). That’s four wins out of five nominations — but that’s not all. The musical romance could also make a big impact in two categories not in our predictions center: Best Original Score and Best Original Song.

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It appears unlikely that any film will upset “La La Land” in the top categories with so many of this season’s other top awards contenders like “Manchester by the Sea,” “Moonlight” and “Silence” competing for drama prizes instead. Ranked second for Best Film with 9/2 odds is the 1970s-set coming of age film “20th Century Women,” whose star Annette Bening is a likely nominee for her lead performance.

Stephen Frears‘s comic biopic “Florence Foster Jenkins” is next with 7/1 odds for Best Film. Its star Meryl Streep has more nominations and wins than any other actor in Globes history, and she’ll add to that tally with another bid in the Best Actress race.

Rounding out the top category will be the offbeat satire “The Lobster” (9/1 odds) starring likely Best Actor nominee Colin Farrell and Warren Beatty‘s Howard Hughes rom-com “Rules Don’t Apply” (18/1 odds).

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Find out who else we’re betting on below. The predicted winners are indicated in gold, and potential spoilers are in italics.

“La La Land” — 3/2
“20th Century Women” — 9/2
“Florence Foster Jenkins” — 7/1
“The Lobster” — 9/1
“Rules Don’t Apply” — 18/1

Spoilers: “Sing Street” (25/1); “Love and Friendship” (28/1); “Deadpool” (40/1)

Ryan Gosling, “La La Land” — 3/2
Colin Farrell, “The Lobster” — 11/2
Ryan Reynolds, “Deadpool” — 9/1
Don Cheadle, “Miles Ahead” — 14/1
Warren Beatty, “Rules Don’t Apply” — 14/1

Spoilers: Hugh Grant, “Florence Foster Jenkins” (18/1); Robert De Niro, “The Comedian” (50/1)

Emma Stone, “La La Land” — 3/2
Annette Bening, “20th Century Women” — 4/1
Meryl Streep, “Florence Foster Jenkins” — 9/2
Kate Beckinsale, “Love and Friendship” — 9/1
Sally Field, “Hello My Name is Doris” — 14/1

Spoilers: Hailee Steinfeld, “The Edge of Seventeen” (40/1); Renee Zellweger, “Bridget Jones’s Baby” (66/1)

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Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight” — 12/5
Jeff Bridges, “Hell or High Water” — 4/1
Liam Neeson, “Silence” — 11/2
Lucas Hedges, “Manchester by the Sea” — 6/1
Dev Patel, “Lion” — 15/2

Spoilers: Michael Shannon, “Nocturnal Animals” (20/1); Ben Foster, “Hell or High Water” (50/1)

Viola Davis, “Fences” — 2/1
Michelle Williams, “Manchester by the Sea” — 10/3
Naomie Harris, “Moonlight” — 5/1
Nicole Kidman, “Lion” — 13/2
Greta Gerwig, “20th Century Women” — 16/1

Spoilers: Kristen Stewart, “Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” (66/1); Felicity Jones, “A Monster Calls” (66/1); Janelle Monae, “Hidden Figures” (80/1)

Damien Chazelle, “La La Land” — 9/5
Martin Scorsese, “Silence” — 11/2
Denzel Washington, “Fences” — 6/1
Barry Jenkins, “Moonlight” — 6/1
Kenneth Lonergan, “Manchester by the Sea” — 13/2

Spoilers: Pablo Larrain, “Jackie” (33/1); Mel Gibson, “Hacksaw Ridge” (50/1)

“Manchester by the Sea” — 9/5
“La La Land” — 4/1
“Moonlight” — 5/1
“Fences” — 9/1
“Loving” — 14/1

Spoilers: “Nocturnal Animals” (28/1); “Silence” (33/1); “Lion” (40/1)

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