Grammy predictions: Taylor Swift will sweep with 5 wins, followed by Kendrick Lamar (4), Alabama Shakes (3)

taylor swift kendrick lamar alabama shakes grammy awards predictions

The 30 Grammy categories we’re predicting for the kudosfest on Monday, February 15, include all seven of Taylor Swift‘s nominations, and we’re betting she’ll dominate with five wins, including Album of the Year (“1989“) and Song of the Year (“Blank Space“). It would be her second win for Album (following “Fearless” in 2009), and it would be historic: no female artist has ever won twice for her own album (others have won multiple times as featured artists).

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The only two awards Swift is expected to lose are Record of the Year (“Blank Space”) and Pop Duo/Group (“Bad Blood“). Both of those awards are expected to go to “Uptown Funk” by Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars.

Kendrick Lamar enters the awards with the most nominations by far (11), but we’re not forecasting him to win as many prizes as Swift. We’re anticipating four victories for the acclaimed hip-hop artist, including a sweep of the rap categories (Performance, Song and Album).

But the awards we’re forecasting don’t account for all of Lamar’s bids. He’s also up for Dance Recording (“Never Catch Me” with Flying Lotus) and Rap/Sung Collaboration (“These Walls” with Bilal, Anna Wise and Thundercat), so his win count could even surpass Swift’s total in the end.

Alabama Shakes are only nominated four times, but the rock group is projected to take three prizes: Rock Performance and Rock Song (“Dont Wanna Fight“) and Alternative Album (“Sound and Color“). Alas, the only award they’re expected to lose is the big one: Album of the Year.

Four artists are expected to win twice. The Weeknd is tied with Swift at seven nominations, and we’re giving him best odds for R&B Performance (“Earned It“) and Urban Contemporary Album (“Beauty Behind the Madness“). DAngelo is also forecast to win twice in the R&B field: R&B Song (“Really Love“) and R&B Album (“Black Messiah“). And as mentioned above Bruno Mars and Mark Ronson will be awarded Record of the Year and Pop Duo/Group for “Uptown Funk.”

Little Big Town‘s “Girl Crush” is expected to prevail twice – Country Duo/Group and Country Song – but only the first of those awards would go to the group itself since they aren’t among its songwriters.

Click here to see complete odds and rankings in our Grammy predictions

Below, check out our Grammy predictions by artist. And click here for a category-by-category rundown.

Taylor Swift
Album of the Year (“1989”)
Song of the Year (“Blank Space”)
Pop Solo Performance (“Blank Space”)
Pop Album (“1989”)
Music Video (“Bad Blood”)

Kendrick Lamar
Rap Performance (“Alright”)
Rap Song (“Alright”)
Rap Album (“To Pimp a Butterfly”)
Music Video (“Bad Blood”)

Alabama Shakes
Rock Performance (“Don’t Wanna Fight”)
Rock Song (“Don’t Wanna Fight”)
Alternative Album (“Sound and Color”)

R&B Song (“Really Love”)
R&B Album (“Black Messiah”)

Little Big Town
Country Duo/Group (“Girl Crush”)
Country Song (“Girl Crush”)

Bruno Mars and Mark Ronson
Record of the Year (“Uptown Funk”)
Pop Duo/Group (“Uptown Funk”)

The Weeknd
R&B Performance (“Earned It”)
Urban Contemporary Album (“Beauty Behind the Madness”)

James Bay
New Artist

Tony Bennett and Bill Charlap
Traditional Pop Album (“The Silver Lining: The Songs of Jerome Kern”)

Louis C.K.
Comedy Album (“Live at Madison Square Garden”)

Jimmy Carter
Spoken Word Album (“A Full Life: Reflections at Ninety”)

Wiz Khalifa and Charlie Puth
Visual Media Song (“See You Again”)

Rock Album (“Drones”)

Antonio Sanchez
Visual Media Score (“Birdman”)

Chris Stapleton
Country Album (“Traveller”)

Grammy Album of the Year advantage for chart-topping Taylor Swift (‘1989’)?

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Photo credits: Taylor Swift, Kendrick Lamar and Alabama Shakes by NBC

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