“Uptown Funk” by Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars is the Grammy frontrunner for Record of the Year, but it’s not nominated for Song of the Year, which goes to those who penned the tune. Collectively, we disagree on who will win instead. Taylor Swift‘s “Blank Space” is out front, but she should watch out for Ed Sheeran‘s “Thinking Out Loud.”
We have nine Expert journalists making their predictions, and five of them predict Swift will prevail, giving her 9/10 odds: Edna Gundersen, Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) and Chris Willman.
“Blank Space” was written by Swift with Max Martin and Shellback. Swift has two previous nominations in this race, but she has yet to win it. It’s the fourth bid for famous hit-maker Martin, who previously penned the Backstreet Boys‘ “I Want it That Way” and Katy Perry‘s “Roar,” among many other songs. He also has yet to win this award.
Two more experts, Glenn Gamboa (Newsday) and Tim Gray (Variety), predict Sheeran will prevail, giving him 7/2 odds. He has one previous nomination in this category, but has yet to win it. He co-wrote “Thinking About Loud” with Amy Wadge.
“Alright” was written by Lamar along with Mark Spears and Pharrell Williams. This is Lamar’s first nomination in this category, and it’s also Pharrell’s first nom. But no rap song has ever won this award.
None of our experts are predicting the last nominee, “See You Again” by Wiz Khalifa and Charlie Puth and co-written by those two along with DJ Frank E and Andrew Cedar. It’s their first nomination in this category, but they face the same bias against rap as “Alright” does.
Our Editors, we who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, agree with the consensus that Swift is in the lead. Four out of six of us — Marcus Dixon, O’Neil, Sheehan and I — predict “Blank Space,” while Chris Beachum is betting on “Thinking Out Loud” and Rob Licuria thinks it will be “Alright.”
But our Top 24 Users, who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Grammy winners, are split right down the middle. Ten of them are predicting “Blank space” and 10 others are predicting “Thinking Out Loud,” with the last four going against the grain to pick “See You Again.”
Who do you think will win?
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