Grammy for Best Pop Album: Could Justin Bieber follow Justin Timberlake’s path to victory?

One of the biggest surprises when the 2017 Grammy nominations were announced was the Album of the Year nomination for “Purpose” by Justin Bieber. That’s the first nomination in the top category for the 22-year-old heartthrob; we’re not expecting him to win that race, but what about Best Pop Album? Album of the Year contenders usually win their corresponding genre categories, so is Bieber an automatic frontrunner there? Let us know what you think: you can now predicted Best Pop Album in our predictions center.

Sign up to get Gold Derby’s free newsletter
with experts’ latest predictions and breaking news

Young male artists have been successful in this category in recent years. Just look at Justin Timberlake. The former ‘N Sync teen idol matured his sound with his solo debut “Justified” in 2002 and earned the respect of the recording academy. He picked up his first Album of the Year nomination for that effort and won for Best Pop Album.

But Timberlake didn’t have to face Adele, who may be tough for Bieber to beat. Adele has only ever lost at the Grammys three times, winning 10 out of her 13 noms between 2008 and 2013. That includes her 2011 victory in this category for her blockbuster “21.” And she hasn’t lost a single contest since 2009. She’s also a nominee for Album of the Year, and on top of that powerhouse female vocalists tend to be popular in this category, including past victors Kelly Clarkson (“Breakaway” in 2005, “Stronger” in 2012), Amy Winehouse (“Back to Black,” 2007) and Lady Gaga (“The Fame Monster,” 2010).

Dish the Grammys with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums

The remaining three nominees are also big-voiced women — Ariana Grande (“Dangerous Woman”), Sia (“This is Acting”) and Demi Lovato (“Confident”) — so perhaps they’ll split the vote with Adele and give Bieber a path to victory here. But unlike Bieber and Adele they have no nominations in the general field, which indicates weaker overall support from the academy and puts them at a disadvantage. Sia is also up for Pop Duo/Group (“Cheap Thrills” with Sean Paul) and Visual Media Song (“Try Everything” from “Zootopia”). Grande’s only other bid is Pop Solo Performance (the title track from “Dangerous Woman”). And Lovato is only nominated here. In fact, Sia, Grande and Lovato have never won.

Make your Grammy predictions now; change them till Feb. 12

Do you think Bieber can upset Adele? Gold Derby readers just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your forecasts as often as you like before winner are announced on Feb. 12.  Just click “Save” when you’ve settled on your choices. You’ll compete to win a $100 Amazon gift certificate, bragging rights and a place of honor on our leaderboard. Our racetrack odds change as you make your predictions, just as they do when you bet on the Emmys, Oscars, Golden Globes and more. Be sure to read our contest rules and sound off on the Grammy race in our music forum.

More News from GoldDerby