With the departures of recent Emmy Awards champs Jon Hamm (“Mad Men” in 2015), Bryan Cranston (“Breaking Bad” in 2014, 2010-08) and Jeff Daniels (“The Newsroom” in 2013), a new winner will be crowned in the Best Drama Actor race this year. According to Gold Derby’s experts (journalists who cover the Emmy beat year-round), Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”), Rami Malek (“Mr. Robot”) and Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”) are locked in a tight three-way race to claim Emmy gold. But who will prove to be victorious? See racetrack odds in all top Emmy races.
Despite being a two-time Oscar champ (“American Beauty” in 1999 and “The Usual Suspects” in 1995), Spacey has never won an Emmy. Neither has relative newcomer Malek. Meanwhile, Odenkirk has two Emmys to his name for writing “Saturday Night Live” (1989) and “The Ben Stiller Show” (1993). All three have recent hardware to show for their current roles, with Spacey taking home the 2015 Golden Globe, Malek winning the 2016 Critics’ Choice Award and Odenkirk earning that same trophy in 2015.
Spacey, who currently enjoys leading 13/8 odds to win, has the support of seven experts: Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Ent. Weekly), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and Adnan Virk (ESPN).
Malek has 7/4 odds, with six experts predicting him to win: Robert Bianco (USA Today), Eric Deggans (NPR), Don Kaplan (NY Daily News), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).
And Odenkirk (15/8 odds) comes in third place with the backing of six experts: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo), Richard Lawson (Vanity Fair) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times).
Last year’s Best Drama Actor nominees were Kyle Chandler (“Bloodline”), Daniels, Odenkirk, Liev Schreiber (“Ray Donovan”), Spacey and eventual winner Hamm. With Hamm and Daniels are gone, there are two slots open this year for the Emmys to recognize new blood.
“Billions” star Paul Giamatti is a major threat simply because he’s beloved by Emmy voters. He won Best Movie/Mini Actor for “John Adams” in 2008 and has been nominated thrice more: Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actor for “Too Big to Fail” (2011), Best Drama Guest Actor for “Downton Abbey” (2014) and Best Comedy Guest Actor for “Inside Amy Schumer” (2015).
Looking to return to the Emmy race are two men who recently won Best Drama Actor but are now contending for their new roles: Damian Lewis (“Billions”) scored for the first season of “Homeland” in 2012, and Chandler prevailed for the final year of “Friday Night Lights” in 2011.
Also in contention is critical favorite Matthew Rhys (“The Americans”) and two-time Emmy winner Bobby Cannavale (“Vinyl”). And don’t count out Aaron Paul (“The Path”), who broke the Best Drama Supporting Actor record for “Breaking Bad” (2014, 2012, 2010) and could very well earn an Emmy promotion by winning Best Drama Actor.
Below, see current odds for the Top 10 set by the experts’ picks. Make your predictions right here and compete against these experts and your friends.
BEST DRAMA ACTOR – Odds to win
1.) Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”) – 13/8
2.) Rami Malek (“Mr. Robot”) – 7/4
3.) Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”) – 15/8
4.) Paul Giamatti (“Billions”) – 3/1
5.) Kyle Chandler (“Bloodline”) – 7/2
6.) Damian Lewis (“Billions”) – 4/1
7.) Matthew Rhys (“The Americans”) – 9/2
8.) Liev Schreiber (“Ray Donovan”) – 6/1
9.) Aaron Paul (“The Path”) – 13/2
10.) Bobby Cannavale (“Vinyl”) – 10/1
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