Beating the odds, Mark Rylance (“Bridge of Spies“) won Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars on Sunday for the latest Steven Spielberg film. However, Sylvester Stallone (“Creed“) was actually Gold Derby’s frontrunner with odds of 1/5 to prevail. This is the first Oscar victory for Rylance on his first nomination.
Our official odds are derived from the predictions of 28 Expert film journalists along with our seven in-house Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscars, the All-Star Users who did the best for the past two years combined and the thousands of entrants in our prediction contest who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
Twenty-four of our 28 experts thought Stallone would prevail: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Dave Karger (Fandango), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Piya Sinha-Roy (Reuters), Nicole Sperling (EW), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
Meanwhile, Jack Mathews (Gold Derby) was the only expert to go out on a limb for Rylance.
Among the seven editors, all seven forecasted Stallone: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble, Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan.
Also predicting Stallone to win were 22 of our Top 24 Users. The other two voted for Ruffalo and Rylance, respectively.
And all 24 of our All-Star Users backed Stallone.
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