Ryan Reynolds is nominated for five MTV Movie Awards this year for his performance as the title character in “Deadpool,” which doubles his career total, bringing him to 10 bids in all, but he has no wins. That will change according to the predictions of our Top 24 Users, who got the highest scores predicting last year’s winners. He’s out front to win Best Comedic Performance, though he’s not a lock.
Fourteen top users who have made their picks so far say it will be Reynolds, giving him 2/3 odds. This is Reynolds’s second nomination in this category; he also contended in 2010 for “The Proposal,” but lost to Zach Galifianakis (“The Hangover”).
However, another seven top users think Amy Schumer will prevail for “Trainwreck,” giving her 9/4 odds. Schumer’s three nominations this year are her first at the MTV Movie Awards, though she did host the event last year, which may have won her even more fans among MTV viewers.
One more top user is betting on Rebel Wilson (“Pitch Perfect 2“), giving her 16/1 odds. This is Wilson’s first nomination in this category, but she has won two MTV Movie Awards in the past: Best Breakthrough Performance and Best Musical Moment for the first “Pitch Perfect” film in 2013. Like Schumer, Wilson is a past host of the ceremony, having emceed in 2013.
None of our top users are predicting the other three nominees. Melissa McCarthy (“Spy“) is one of them, which is ironic because she’s the only nominee in this contest who has won this award before: she prevailed in 2012 for “Bridesmaids” and was nominated again for “The Heat” (2014).
Rounding out the category are another pair of perennial nominees, but neither of them has won this race. Kevin Hart (“Ride Along 2“) is nominated for the third year in a row, following bids for “Ride Along” (2014) and “The Wedding Ringer” (2015). And Will Ferrell (“Get Hard“) has been nominated five times; his previous bids were for “Old School” (2003), “Elf” (2004), “Anchorman” (2005) and “Blades of Glory” (2007). Ferrell was awarded the special Comedic Genius Award in 2013, but he hasn’t won this particular prize yet.
Our Editors, who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, agree with our Top 24’s consensus. All four of us — Chris Beachum, Marcus Dixon, Rob Licuria and myself — are predicting Reynolds. Do you think we’re right?
Make your MTV Movie Awards Awards predictions starting with Best Comedic Performance to the right or at the bottom of this post.
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Photo credit: 20th Century Fox