Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“The Revenant“) is the frontrunner with odds of 1/4 to win Best Director at the Oscars on Sunday, just one year after winning for “Birdman.” The last time someone won back-to-back Oscars for Best Director was Joseph L. Mankiewicz, who prevailed for “A Letter to Three Wives” (1949) and “All About Eve” (1950). Prior to that, John Ford had won two of his record four Oscars consecutively for helming “The Grapes of Wrath” (1940) and “How Green Was My Valley” (1941).
Our official odds are derived from the predictions of 27 Expert film journalists along with our seven in-house Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscars, the All-Star Users who did the best for the past two years combined and the thousands of entrants in our prediction contest who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
Twenty-three of our 27 experts think Inarritu will prevail: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox New), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (EW), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
Among the seven editors, all seven are forecasting Inarritu: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble, Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan.
Also predicting Inarritu to win are 21 of our Top 24 Users and all 24 of our All-Star Users. Backing Miller are two of the Top 24, while one of the Top 24 goes out on a limb for Lenny Abrahamson (“Room“).
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Photo Credit: The Weinstein Company