Alicia Vikander (“The Danish Girl“) is the frontrunner with odds of 1/4 to win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars on Sunday for playing Gerda Wegener, the wife of one of the first recipients of sex reassignment surgery. This would be the first Oscar victory for Vikander on her first nomination.
Our official odds are derived from the predictions of 27 Expert film journalists along with our seven in-house Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscars, the All-Star Users who did the best for the past two years combined and the thousands of entrants in our prediction contest who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
Twenty-four of our 27 experts think Vikander will prevail: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Tim Gray (Variety), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox New), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (EW), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
Among the seven editors, all seven are forecasting Vikander: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble, Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan.
Also predicting Vikander to win are 19 of our Top 24 Users and all 24 of our All-Star Users. The other five of our Top 24 are backing Winslet.
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Photo Credit: The Weinstein Company