The Oscar race for Best Adapted Screenplay has been far less certain than the race for original scripts, where “Spotlight” is the solid frontrunner. But we can’t look to the Writers Guild Awards for clear insight into this race. Because that organization is stricter in its eligibility requirements than the motion picture academy, two of this year’s predicted Oscar nominees, “Room” and “Brooklyn,” were ineligible at the guild kudos. So who will break through in this crowded field?
The five scripts we think will be nominated for this award are below in order of their , with the predicted winner, “The Big Short,” noted in . These official odds are derived from the predictions of film journalists along with the Gold Derby who cover awards year-round, the who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscar nominations and the thousands of who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
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Photo Credits: “The Big Short” by Paramount Pictures; “Steve Jobs” by Francois Duhamel/REX; “Room” by A24