“Til It Happens to You” from “The Hunting Ground” is the frontrunner with odds of 1/4 to win Best Song at the Oscars on Sunday. This song, written by Lady Gaga and Diane Warren, features in the documentary about rape crimes on U.S. college campuses, their institutional cover-ups and the devastating toll they take on students and their families.
Our official odds are derived from the predictions of 27 Expert film journalists along with our seven in-house Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscars, the All-Star Users who did the best for the past two years combined and the thousands of entrants in our prediction contest who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
Twenty-four of our 27 experts think “Til It Happens to You” will prevail: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox New), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Nicole Sperling (EW), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
Meanwhile, two experts predict “Writing’s on the Wall” (“Spectre“): Tim Gray (Variety) and Keith Simanton (IMDB). And Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) goes out on a limb for “Simple Song #3” (“Youth“)
Among the seven editors, all seven are forecasting “Til It Happens To You”: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble, Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan.
Also predicting “Til It Happens To You” to win are 19 of our Top 24 Users and all 24 of our All-Star Users. Backing “Writing’s On the Wall” are four of the Top 24. And one of the Top 24 predicts “Simple Song #3.”
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Photo Credit: Rob Latour/REX Shutterstock