Congratulations to Magic 8 Ball for a very impressive 87.50% in predicting the 2016 Oscars winners on Sunday. She actually tied with two other people — Moviefiend and Donny B. — with that top percentage but had the best point total of 33,457 by using her 500 and 200 point bets wisely.
Over 4,700 people worldwide predicted the winners in all 24 categories. Our top scorer correctly chose the surprise Best Picture champ of “Spotlight” as well as three acting winners: Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Revenant“) for Best Actor, Brie Larson (“Room“) for Best Actress, and Alicia Vikander (“The Danish Girl“) for Best Supporting Actress.
She only missed on three categories overall: Best Supporting Actor, where she had Sylvester Stallone instead of Mark Rylance; Best Song, where she had “Til It Happens to You” in place of “Writings on the Wall“; and Best Visual Effects, where she picked “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” over “Ex Machina.”
You can see how your score compares to theirs in our leaderboard rankings of all contestants, which also includes links to see each participant’s predictions. Or you can find your score by clicking on “My Award Scores,” which appears in the gold menu bar when you’re signed in to your account.
Gold Derby must evaluate each potential winner’s eligibility as per our contest rules. If eligible, the first-place finisher gets a $500 Amazon gift card, the second-place finisher gets a $300 Amazon gift card and the third-place finisher gets a $200 Amazon gift card.
There is then a three-way tie for the next best spot for Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), and Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly) with 75% correct. Nine Experts are in the next position with 71% right: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Pete Hammond (Deadline), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), and Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby).
Seven people have 67% of the winners correct: Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Michael Musto (Out.com), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
The next group of Experts has 63% accuracy: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Tim Gray (Variety), Piya Sinha-Roy (Reuters), and Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times). In the final group with 59% correct is Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), and Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere).
In a tough year to predict Best Picture, eight of these Experts were able to make that important prediction of “Spotlight”: Adams, Douglas, Jacobs, Mantz, O’Neil, Simanton, Sinha-Roy, and Travers. For another difficult category, only Mathews chose Rylance over Stallone as Best Supporting Actor. Part of Simanton’s great score had him as the only Expert to predict “Writing’s on the Wall” as Best Song.
Among Gold Derby’s five Editors, Matt Noble is in first place with 71% correct (17 of 24 categories). We then have a three-way tie between Marcus Dixon, Rob Licuria, and myself with 67% right. Daniel Montgomery is next with 63%.
See the separate rankings of our Experts, Editors and Users in our special leaderboards that feature top scores per group.