Oscar predictions: Will Emma Donoghue (‘Room’) be first woman to win for adapting her own material?

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Hey, Emma Donoghue: Did you know you could make Oscar history by being the first woman to win Best Adapted Screenplay for adapting your own source material?

Donoghue wrote the original “Room” novel that was the basis for the film that earned four Oscar nominations: Best Picture, Best Director for Lenny Abrahamson, Best Actress for Brie Larson and Best Adapted Screenplay. Of the three female solo writers that previously won this race at the Oscars (yes, sadly, there are only three), they all were rewarded for adapting somebody else’s work.

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Emma Thompson prevailed in 1995 for adapting Jane Austen‘s novel “Sense and Sensibility,” Ruth Prawer Jhabvala took home two Oscars for adapting E.M. Forster novels “Howards End” (1992) and “A Room With a View” (1986), and Frances Marion scored big at the third Oscar ceremony for adapting Lennox Robinson‘s story “The Big House” (1929/30).

While Donoghue would be the first woman to win for adapting her own work, 15 different men have earned this distinction over the past 88 years. They are:

John Irving for “The Cider House Rules” (1999) — adapted from his 1985 novel

Billy Bob Thornton for “Sling Blade” (1996) — adapted from his 1994 short film “Some Folks Call It a Sling Blade”

Michael Blake for “Dances with Wolves” (1990) — adapted from his 1988 novel

Alfred Uhry for “Driving Miss Daisy” (1989) — adapted from his 1987 play

Christopher Hampton for “Dangerous Liaisons” (1988) — adapted from his 1985 play “Les Liaisons Dangereuses,” which was adapted from the 1782 novel by Pierre Choderlos de Laclos

Peter Shaffer for “Amadeus” (1984) — adapted from his 1979 play

Ernest Thompson for “On Golden Pond” (1981) — adapted from his 1979 play

Mario Puzo (with Francis Ford Coppola) for “The Godfather” (1972) and “The Godfather Part II” (1974) — adapted from his 1969 novel “The Godfather”

William Peter Blatty for “The Exorcist” (1973) — adapted from his 1971 novel

James Goldman for “The Lion in Winter” (1968) — adapted from his 1966 play

Robert Bolt for “A Man for All Seasons” (1966) — adapted from his 1960 play

Abby Mann for “Judgment at Nuremberg” (1961) — adapted from his 1959 teleplay

Pierre Boulle (with Carl Foreman and Michael Wilson) for “The Bridge on the River Kwai” (1957) — adapted from his 1952 novel

Paddy Chayefsky for “Marty” (1955) — adapted from his 1953 teleplay

George Bernard Shaw (with Ian Dalrymple, Cecil Lewis and W. P. Lipscomb) for “Pygmalion” (1938) — adapted from his 1913 play

According to exclusive Gold Derby odds that are derived from the predictions made by our expert journalists, in-house staff editors and contest entrants like you, Donoghue currently has 25/1 odds to win the race for Best Adapted Screenplay.

That’s good enough for third place on our predictions chart behind frontrunners “The Big Short” (Charles Randolph and Adam McKay) at 2/13 odds and “Carol” (Phyllis Nagy) with odds of 22/1.

The other two nominees in this race are “The Martian” (Drew Goddard) in fourth place with 33/1 odds and “Brooklyn” (Nick Hornby) in last place with odds of 66/1. Click here to see up-to-date odds and rankings in all 24 Oscar races.

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