In our fiesty Oscar predictions smackdown video above (or click here), Pete Hammond (Deadline) and I agree: If Adam McKay (“The Big Short“) or Tom McCarthy (“Spotlight“) wins the Directors’ Guild of America Award on Saturday, then the Oscar race for Best Picture is over. “The Big Short” has already won the Producers’ Guild of America Award plus ACE Eddie while “Spotlight” has snagged the SAG Ensemble trophy plus Critics’ Choice Award for Best Picture. A DGA victory would seal the deal.
But according to Gold Derby’s racetrack odds, the other three nominees are out front: George Miller (“Mad Max: Fury Road”), Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“The Revenant“) and Ridley Scott (“The Martian”). If one of them prevails, then this year’s derby is, officially, all over the track and no pundit can say with confidence which pony will sprint over the Oscar finish line on Feb. 28.
Pete and I believe that this is wildest Oscar derby in modern memory. Watch our chat to learn where we think things stand now. Or listen to the audio podcast version below.