Producers Guild Awards nomination shockers: ‘Ex Machina’ & ‘Sicario’ in, ‘Star Wars’ & ‘Carol’ snubbed

producers guild awards nominations pga ex machina sicario carol star wars the force awakens

The Producers Guild of America announced its nominees for Best Picture on Tuesday, January 5: “The Big Short,” “Bridge of Spies,” “Brooklyn,” “Ex Machina,” “Mad Max: Fury Road,” “The Martian,” “The Revenant,” “Sicario,” “Spotlight” and “Straight Outta Compton.”

Seven of these 10 match our forecast for the Best Picture lineup at the Oscars with three glaring exceptions: the PGA snubbed “Carol” (#4 on our chart) “Room” (#7) and “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” (#10) in favor of “Straight Outta Compton” (#14), “Sicario” (#23) and “Ex Machina” (#28).

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The guild and Oscars have agreed on the last eight Best Pictures in a row (though there was an unprecedented tie here in 2013 between eventual Oscar winner “12 Years a Slave” and “Gravity”.) Key to the import of this precursor prize is that it picks a winner using the same kind of counting as the Oscars — the preferential ballot.

The PGA also revealed the five nominees for Best Animated Feature: “Anomalisa,” “The Good Dinosaur,” “Inside Out,” “Minions” and “The Peanuts Movie.” This is our predicted line-up of potential Oscar nominees with one exception: we’re betting on “Shaun the Sheep Movie” to replace “Minions” at the Oscars.

And while most of the TV nominees were announced on Dec. 8, the PGA unveiled the contenders for TV Movie/Miniseries on Tuesday: “American Crime,” “American Horror Story: Hotel,” “Fargo,” “True Detective” and “A Very Murray Christmas.”

Winners will be revealed during a Jan. 23 ceremony at the Beverly Hilton Hotel.

When the Oscars expanded to 10 nominees in 2009, the Producers Guild of America followed suit. And while the academy shifted to a sliding scale five years ago, the PGA stuck with 10 contenders. That has helped it maintain a staggering success rate at predicting the eventual Oscars roster with it previewing 47 of the 55 (i.e., 85%) of the Best Picture nominees.

Last year seven of the PGA nominees made the cut with the academy: eventual Best Picture champ “Birdman” as well as “American Sniper,” “Boyhood,” “The Grand Budapest Hotel,” “The Imitation Game,” “The Theory of Everything” and “Whiplash.” the three other PGA contenders — “Foxcatcher,” “Gone Girl” and “Nightcrawler” — were snubbed by the academy. Rather, “Selma” was the eighth Oscar nominee.

In 2013 eight of the PGA nominees were nominated at the Oscars: eventual Best Picture winner “12 Years a Slave,” as well as “Gravity” (which had tied with it at the PGA), “American Hustle,” “Captain Phillips,”  “Dallas Buyers Club” “Her,” “Nebraska,” and “The Wolf of Wall Street.” The other two PGA contenders — “Blue Jasmine” and “Saving Mr. Banks” — were snubbed by the academy, leaving Brit hit “Philomena” as the ninth Oscar nominee.

In 2012, eight PGA nominees also reaped bids for the top Academy Award — “Argo,” “Beasts of the Southern Wild,” “Django Unchained,” “Life of Pi,” “Lincoln,” “Les Miserables,” “Silver Linings Playbook” and “Zero Dark Thirty.” Rounding out the roster at the PGA were “Moonrise Kingdom” and “Skyfall.” The guild snubbed the French-language “Amour,” which netted a Best Picture nod from the academy. “Argo” prevailed with the PGA before taking home the Oscar. 

In 2011, the PGA predicted seven of the eventual nine Best Picture contenders, including “The Artist” which won with both groups. The PGA filled out their slate with popular pictures “Bridesmaids,” “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo” and “The Ides of March” while the Oscars went with “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close” and “The Tree of Life.”

In 2010, the PGA foresaw nine of the eventual 10 Best Picture Oscar nominees. The guild went for “The Town” while the academy opted for “Winter’s Bone” for the tenth slot. Both groups chose “The King’s Speech” as the Best Picture of the year. 

And in 2009, the Oscars concurred with the PGA on eight of the 10 contenders. PGA nominated “Invictus” and “Star Trek” over Oscar choices “The Blind Side” and “A Serious Man.” Both groups picked as best pic “The Hurt Locker.”

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“Ex Machina” photo credit: Moviestore/REX

“Sicario” photo credit: Moviestore/REX

“Star Wars” photo credit: Walt Disney Pictures

Carol” photo credit: Moviestore/REX

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