There are a few awards season rules that many of us awards pundits live by. If Meryl Streep is in a movie that is not too bad, with reviews that are anything above generally acceptable, then she must be taken seriously as a Golden Globe, SAG and Oscar nominee. John Williams has scored a new movie? Pencil him in for a best Original Score Oscar nomination. The cast of “Downton Abbey” will be nominated for Best Drama Ensemble at the SAG Awards. You get the idea.
Here’s another one. Sarah Jessica Parker is the lead on a well-received HBO comedy series? Then not only is a Golden Globe nomination in the bag, but she becomes the instant frontrunner.
Now, there are other factors that might come into play in the Best TV Comedy Actress lineup. This year, another comedy ingénue, Issa Rae (“Insecure”), might take home the Best TV Comedy Actress prize following Gina Rodriguez (“Jane the Virgin”) did in 2014 and Rachel Bloom (“Crazy Ex-Girlfriend”) did last year. Or, Globe voters might make amends with Emmy queen Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“Veep”) and give her that long-overdue prize for “Veep.” Or another relative newcomer like Tig Notaro (“One Mississippi”) could surprise everyone and take home the gold. Or Minnie Driver (“Speechless”) might win. And so on and so on.
But there is no denying that Globe voters love Parker. For her role as Carrie Bradshaw on HBO’s “Sex and the City,” Parker was nominated seven consecutive times, winning in 1999, 2000, 2001 and 2003 (she lost in 1998 to Jenna Elfman for “Dharma & Greg,” in 2002 to Jennifer Aniston for “Friends,” and in 2004 to Teri Hatcher in “Desperate Housewives”).
What is even more astonishing when looking back at Parker’s previous Globe success is that the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn., which doles out the Golden Globe Awards, tend to favor new shows and stars over returning contenders. Performers are typically nominated once or twice, not like at the Emmys and the SAG Awards where each year’s list of nominees tends to look a lot like the year before. But every so often, the Globes fixate on a star that they can’t quit. And Parker is definitely one of those.
Now that Parker is back on TV 12 years after the end of “Sex and the City,” it seems like a no-brainer that the Globes will not be able to resist nominating her once again for her caustic and genuinely funny turn on “Divorce.” The bigger question is, will she be able to fend off the competition and take home Globe #5? Watch this space.
Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions. What TV shows and performers will do well with the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. voters? Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how it’s faring in our Golden Globe odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on December 12 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.