Beyonce just set a record this year with her American Music Award nomination for Favorite Soul/R&B Female Artist. This is her 10th bid, which breaks her tie with Mariah Carey as the most nominated of all time in the contest. But she’s up against another record-holder in the category: Rihanna, who has won six out of her eight previous nominations, including the last two in a row. But the only two times Rihanna has lost the award (2011-2012) it was to Beyonce. So which of them will prevail in this year’s rematch?
According to the combined predictions of all users at Gold Derby, Beyonce is out front with leading odds of 5/6. That includes support from 17 of our Top 24 Users, who got the highest scores predicting last year’s AMA winners. Queen Bey is also backed by 22 of our All-Star Top 24, who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ AMA results.
That is perhaps surprising considering that Rihanna has won their last two head-to-head match-ups in a row. Also, Rihanna had a number-two hit single over the summer — “Wild Thoughts” with DJ Khaled and Bryson Tiller — so she has had a high profile on the charts this year despite being in-between albums. She currently ranks second with 13/5 odds, though she has support from seven of our Top 24 Users and two of our All-Stars.
That leaves first-time nominee Kehlani in third place with 9/2 odds. She’s not as well established as her superstar rivals in this race, but with none of our top users predicting her to win, could we be underestimating her potential beginner’s luck?
Be sure to make your CMA predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see this year’s contenders are faring in our CMA odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on November 8. And join the discussion on this and more taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.