Taylor Swift has fully transitioned from country into pop music, and she’s about to release her latest crossover album, “Reputation,” on November 10. But according to Gold Derby’s users she’s also about to win her very first CMA Award as a country music songwriter. She’s the frontrunner to win Song of the Year for “Better Man,” which she wrote for the band Little Big Town.
As of this writing Swift gets leading odds of 7/5. That includes support from some of our most elite derbyites: 14 of our Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s CMA winners and 12 of our All-Star Top 24, who got the highest scores when you add up the last two years’ prediction results.
You would think Swift would be swimming in CMA songwriting awards given her success across other categories. She won Entertainer of the Year twice (2009, 2011), Female Vocalist of the Year once (2009), and also Album of the Year once (“Fearless,” 2009). But despite her notoriety as a songwriter, she only has one previous bid for her writing. She contended for “Mean” in 2011, but that award went to Kimberly Perry for “If I Die Young” by her group The Band Perry.
Swift isn’t a slam dunk this year, though. Ranked a close second with 5/2 odds is “Blue Ain’t Your Color,” recorded by Keith Urban but written by Clint Lagerberg, Hillary Lindsey, and Steven Lee Olsen. Six of our Top 24 and seven of our All-Stars expect them to upset. And Miranda Lambert ranks third with 3/1 odds for “Tin Man,” which she co-wrote with Jack Ingram and Jon Randall. She has support from three of our Top 24 and four All-Stars. And don’t count out “Body Like a Back Road” by Sam Hunt along with co-writers Zach Crowell, Shane McAnally, and Josh Osborne; “Body” is the frontrunner for Single of the Year.
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