Who will win the 2017 Emmy for Best Movie/Mini Actress? The question you would normally ask is, who is the biggest Oscar winning movie star in the race? The TV academy loves to reward actors from the big screen who appear on the small screen, but in this case that doesn’t give us much guidance. Four of this year’s nominees are Oscar winners, and a fifth is a past Oscar nominee.
Be sure to make your own predictions in this race as well as the rest of the Primetime Emmy categories and compete against our Emmy experts who cover this race year-round for such leading media outlets, as well as the two dozen amateurs who ranked in the top 24 last year, the all-stars who did well for two years in a row, and thousands of Emmy fans just like you. (Scroll down to see up-to-date racetrack odds derived from all of these predictions.)
Oscar champs Nicole Kidman and Reese Witherspoon are both nominated for their performances in HBO’s “Big Little Lies.” This is the first Emmy nomination for Witherspoon and the second for Kidman, who previously contended in this category five years ago for the telefilm “Hemingway & Gellhorn” (2012). Both Kidman and Witherspoon will also have another opportunity to win an Emmy as both are nominated for Best Limited Series as producers of the limited series.
Another pair of Oscar winners, Jessica Lange and Susan Sarandon, are both nominated for “Feud: Bette and Joan,” where they have the added benefit of played recognizable real-life figures: Lange plays Hollywood icon Joan Crawford, and Sarandon portrays the equally legendary Bette Davis. Sarandon has been nominated six times total without a win, while Lange is an Emmy favorite with nine nominations and three victories. Both of their totals include Best Limited Series bids; like Kidman and Witherspoon, Lange and Sarandon are doubly nominated as producers of “Feud.”
Carrie Coon earned her first Emmy nomination this year for her performance in the anthology series “Fargo.” Many thought she might earn two nominations since she also played a leading role in the HBO drama series “The Leftovers.” Alas, she didn’t make the cut for Best Drama Actress for that role, but if any voters in this category are fans of “The Leftovers” — or even just aware of the acclaim for that role — it can only help her here. After all, she just won Best Individual Achievement in Drama at the TCA Awards jointly for both performances. That could give her a decisive advantage especially if the “Big Little Lies” and “Feud” co-stars split the vote.
Felicity Huffman (“American Crime”) could also capitalize. She’s an Emmy favorite with four past nominations and a Best Comedy Actress win for “Desperate Housewives” (2005). This is her third straight bid in this category for playing different roles in the ABC anthology series. Since she has played drastically different roles each season she has had a chance to showcase her dramatic range to voters over the years. “American Crime” may be stigmatized by the fact that it was cancelled after its third year, but alternately that could give voters an added incentive to reward Huffman for the program, since this will be their last chance.
UPDATED: August 24, 2017
1. Nicole Kidman, “Big Little Lies” — 1/2
2. Jessica Lange, “Feud: Bette and Joan” — 10/3
3. Carrie Coon, “Fargo” — 25/1
4. Susan Sarandon, “Feud: Bette and Joan” — 25/1
5. Reese Witherspoon, “Big Little Lies” — 50/1
6. Felicity Huffman, “American Crime” — 80/1