With 2/11 odds from our 30 movie Experts, “La La Land” is predicted to win Best Picture at Sunday’s Academy Awards. The film has 14 total nominations, which ties the record for the most in Oscar history — “All About Eve” (1950) and “Titanic” (1997) also earned 14 nominations, and both films won Best Picture. The nominated producers are Fred Berger, Jordan Horowitz and Marc Platt. Both Berger and Horowitz are first-time nominees, while Platt earned one previous bid for “Bridge of Spies” (2015).
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Twenty-nine of our 30 Experts are predicting a “La La Land” victory: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Erik Davis (Fandango), Eric Deggans (NPR), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Tim Gray (Variety), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDb), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere), Glenn Whipp (LA Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
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In second place is “Moonlight” with 18/1 odds; the one Expert picking the indie drama to win is Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes). “Moonlight” has eight total nominations and it won the Golden Globe for Best Film Drama. Its nominated producers are Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner and Adele Romanski. This is the first Oscar nomination for Romanski. Gardner has four previous nominations and Kleiner has three; both Gardner and Kleiner won Best Picture for “12 Years a Slave” (2013).
Much further behind are “” and “Manchester by the Sea” with 50/1 odds each; “Arrival,” “Lion,” “Hacksaw Ridge” and “Fences” with 80/1 odds apiece; and “Hell or High Water” with 100/1 odds.
Oscar Best Picture Gallery: History of Every Academy Award-Winning Movie
According to our overall combined odds featuring the predictions of all Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users (those who did the best at their winner picks last year), All-Star Top 24 (who got the best predictions scores when you combine the last two years’ results), and All Users, the rankings are nearly the same. The favored pick of over 3,400 people is “La La Land” with 2/11 odds over “Moonlight” with 18/1 odds. “Hidden Figures” follows with 50/1 odds, and then “Manchester by the Sea” at 50/1, “Arrival” at 66/1, “Lion” at 80/1, “Hacksaw Ridge” at 80/1, “Fences” at 100/1 and “Hell or High Water” at 100/1.
Predict the Oscar winners now; change them till February 26
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films are faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before winners are announced on February 26 at 5:00 pm PT/8:00 pm ET. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.
