2018 Golden Globe predictions: ‘Big Little Lies’ is the unanimous choice to win Best Movie/Limited Series … almost

Big Little Lies” earned the most Golden Globe nominations by far for a TV program this year: a whopping six, which is a rare number to reach. So it stands to reason that it would be the frontrunner to win its top prize: Best Movie/Limited Series. In fact, it’s very nearly unanimous, except for one of our top users who is making a bold renegade choice.

As of this writing all six of the Expert TV journalists we’ve polled are predicting “Big Little Lies” to win: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Joyce Eng (Gold Derby), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Chris Harnick (E!), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), and Adnan Virk (ESPN). It’s also the unanimous choice of our six Editors who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Matt Noble, O’Neil, and myself. And every one of our All-Star Top 24 Users, who got the highest scores predicting the last two years’ Globe winners combined, concurs with that consensus.

But there is dissent among our Top 24 Users, who scored highest predicting just last year’s Globe winners for TV. Twenty-three of them say “Big Little Lies” will prevail, but one of them, Kadere, is going out on a limb for USA’s unique murder mystery “The Sinner” starring Jessica Biel, who is also nominated for Best Movie/Limited Series Actress. That could happen especially if the Golden Globes want to strike out on their own and not simply rubber-stamp the Emmys recent choice. In the last 10 years, seven of the Golden Globe winners also prevailed in their corresponding Emmy race, but sometimes the Hollywood Foreign Press Association likes to go their own way, rewarding Emmy also-rans “Longford” (2008), “Carlos” (2011), and “Wolf Hall” (2016), though it might have helped with the foreign membership of the HFPA that those three outliers were European productions, while “The Sinner” is American.

What do you think? Does “Big Little Lies” have this in the bag, or might it be closer than we think?

Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 7. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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