Julia Louis-Dreyfus can do no wrong at the Emmys, where she has won 11 times: once for Best Comedy Supporting Actress (“Seinfeld,” 1996), once for Best Comedy Actress for “The New Adventures of Old Christine” (2006), a record six more times for Best Comedy Actress for “Veep” (2012-2017), and three times for Best Comedy Series as a producer (“Veep,” 2015-2017). But the Golden Globes haven’t been nearly as generous. She won Best TV Supporting Actress for “Seinfeld” in 1995 — and that’s it. But our Experts are unanimous that she will finally win another Globe this year.
As of this writing we’ve polled nine Expert TV journalists for their Globe picks, and all of them are backing Louis-Dreyfus: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Debbie Day (Rotten Tomatoes), Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Chris Harnick (E!), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), and Adnan Virk (ESPN).
So why are they so convinced Globe voters will change their tune after five straight years of nominations but no wins for Louis-Dreyfus? For starters, the Globe losses are starting to look conspicuous after years of Emmy dominance, and the Hollywood Foreign Press may wish to honor her to avoid appearing behind the curve. Voters may also wish to lend Louis-Dreyfus their support following the actress’s breast cancer diagnosis, which she announced in September — she had been diagnosed the day after the Emmys.
If anyone upsets Louis-Dreyfus, it looks like it will be Debra Messing (“Will and Grace“), who ranks second in our overall predictions. None of our Experts are predicting her to win, but two of Gold Derby’s Editors forecast her victory: Chris Beachum and Rob Licuria. She’s also backed by three of our Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Globe nominations, and five of our All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ predictions.
Messing also has big Golden Globes IOU. She has eight past nominations, including six in this category for the original run of “Will and Grace” (2000-2005). In fact, “Will and Grace” never won a single Golden Globe out of 27 total nominations.
Do you agree with our consensus that Louis-Dreyfus is the frontrunner to win with Messing in position to upset?
Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on December 11. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.