The 2018 Golden Globe nominations were announced on December 11. Decided by around 90 international journalists who make up the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, the Globes don’t share any voters in common with the motion picture academy that decides the Oscars, but they’re nevertheless important as a campaign stop given the high profile of the ceremony. It airs January 7 on NBC to millions of viewers right after the start of Oscar voting, giving the winners their first opportunity to take the awards stage in front of a national audience.
The HFPA also likes to be seen as Oscar predictors, so their choices often give us an idea of which way the wind is blowing overall. Their picks aren’t always on the mark when it comes to anticipating the Academy Award for Best Picture, but in the last 10 years half of the Oscar champs have won at the Globes first, including last year’s victor “Moonlight.” So how do this year’s nominations affect the race overall? Let’s consider who’s up and who’s down.
“The Shape of Water” — It earned more Globe nominations (seven) than any other film this year. Granted, that didn’t help “La La Land” last year, which won all seven of its nominations in an unprecedented sweep, but in combination with last week’s Critics’ Choice nominations, where “Shape of Water” leads with 14, the film is now firmly established as one of the top contenders in the race for Best Picture and Best Director (Guillermo Del Toro)
“The Post” — With Steven Spielberg directing Tom Hanks and Meryl Streep together for the first time, expectations were high — too high, perhaps? The film was shot, edited, and completed at lightning speed, and it wasn’t shown to press and industry until November, so there was a chance the film could have collapsed under the weight of those expectations. Six Globe noms including Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Screenplay, in addition to snagging eight Critics’ Choice noms last week, solidify its status as a true contender.
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — The film exceeded expectations by not only earning nominations for Best Film Drama, Best Film Drama Actress (Frances McDormand), and Best Film Supporting Actor (Sam Rockwell), but also writing and directing nominations for Martin McDonagh, and even a Best Score nomination for Carter Burwell. Along with “The Shape of Water” and “The Post” it’s one of only three films to be nominated for both writing and directing this year, which is elite company to be in.
“The Big Sick” — The Golden Globes divide their top categories into races for dramas and comedies/musicals, so the fact that this acclaimed indie romantic comedy didn’t earn a single nomination is especially jarring. We had expected it to receive at least three bids, including Best Film Comedy/Musical. But all is not lost for the film, which earned six Critics’ Choice noms and was named one of the top 10 Movies of the Year by the American Film Institute.
“Call Me by Your Name” — This romantic drama under-performed compared to our expectations. Though it did receive a nomination for Best Film Drama and for its actors Timothee Chalamet and Armie Hammer, it was a surprise not to see it anywhere else. It was also forecast to receive nominations for writing, directing, and for supporting actor Michael Stuhlbarg. Does this slow down the film’s momentum this season?
“Darkest Hour” — Gary Oldman is the Oscar frontrunner for Best Actor for his transformation into British Prime Minister Winston Churchill, but the film hasn’t done very well beyond Oldman’s lead performance, which was the only nomination the film received at the Globes. Will Oldman still be the favorite to win Oscar without broad support for his film as a whole?
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“Dunkirk” — With only three nominations, this war film might have gotten lost in the Golden Globes conversation, but while it does trail in overall nominations total, it got the ones it needed: Best Film Drama, Best Film Director (Christopher Nolan), and Best Film Score (Hans Zimmer). It wasn’t expected to compete for its screenplay, and an acting nom for Mark Rylance would have been a bonus, so it’s holding more or less steady. Of course, it will need to do more than just hold steady as other films rise against it. It’s going to need to start winning top prizes.
“Get Out” — No nominations for Jordan Peele for writing or directing this horror satire are a blow to the film, but not necessarily fatal. For such an unconventional awards contender, its nominations for Best Film Comedy/Musical and Best Film Comedy/Musical Actor (Daniel Kaluuya) keep it in the Oscar conversation.
“Lady Bird” — Like Peele, Greta Gerwig was snubbed for Best Director, but she did earn a nom for her screenplay, and the film picked up the expected acting noms for lead star Saoirse Ronan and supporting actress Laurie Metcalf. Throw in its bid for Best Film Comedy/Musical, and “Lady Bird” is the most nominated comedy of the year.
Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 7. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.