Gold Derby’s Grammy nominations predictions forecast that Ed Sheeran, Lady Gaga, and Kesha would all make at least one appearance in the top general field categories: Record, Song, and Album of the Year. They were left out of all the marquee categories, but they all made up for it with bids in pop genre races. Will one of them win Best Pop Album as a consolation prize?
The difficulty in predicting Best Pop Album now is that, unlike most years, there is no overlap between this race and Album of the Year. None of the six nominees in this race contend anywhere in the general field, in fact, so it’s harder to determine which contender might have the strongest support from the recording academy. But most of these nominees are past Grammy favorites — four out of six are Grammy winners, and five out of six are past nominees.
Sheeran previously won Song of the Year and Pop Solo Performance for “Thinking Out Loud” in 2016, and though he didn’t make the cut in the general field this year his album “Divide” was a major success and its lead single “Shape of You” was one of the biggest hits of the year. Lady Gaga has earned three past Grammy noms for Album of the Year, and though “Joanne” didn’t match the success of her previous hits, she is a past winner in this category for “The Fame Monster” (2011), so we mustn’t count her out.
Kesha is the only first-time Grammy nominee in this category. She’s up for this award for “Rainbow” as well as Best Pop Solo Performance for “Praying,” her comeback single following years of legal battles against her producer and alleged sexual assaulter Dr. Luke. Lana Del Rey is up for “Lust for Life,” and she’s been nominated four times overall in her career, but she has yet to win, and she’s the only contender in this race with no other nominations this year.
On the flip side of that, Coldplay (“Kaleidoscope”) are the most awarded artist in this category with seven past victories, including Best Alternative Album for “Parachutes” (2002) and “A Rush of Blood to the Head” (2003), and Best Rock Album for “Viva La Vida” (2009). But they haven’t yet won Best Pop Album, and they haven’t won any Grammy in nine years.
Rounding out the category are Imagine Dragons for “Evolve.” This is their first nomination in an album category, but they won Best Rock Performance in 2014 for their breakthrough hit “Radioactive.” Plus they’ve been prominent all year thanks to their top-five hits “Believer” and “Thunder” (nominated for Best Pop Duo or Group).
So who among the six will slip past the others?
Be sure to make your Grammy predictions so that Hollywood record executives and top name stars can see how their songs and albums are faring in our Grammy odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 28. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Grammys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.