ACE Eddie Awards nominees: How many will make the cut at the Oscars?

Though the American Cinema Editors awards has a good track record as a Best Picture predictor (17 out of the last 26 winners) and a great one for forecasting who will win the Film Editing Oscar (20 of the last 26), it is surprising that it is not all-knowing when it comes to the Film Editing Oscar nominations. (Read our full report on the ACE Eddie Awards nominations.)

In 1992, the Eddies went from three to five nominees (matching that of the Oscars) and in 2000 it split the award in two, with five nominees for each of drama and comedy/musical. Over the past 24 years, 105 of the 120 Oscar nominees for Film Editing had first reaped a Golden Eddie nod; that is an accuracy rate of 87.5%.

That is good news three-time Oscar champ Thelma Schoonmaker who was snubbed for her work for long-time collaborator Martin Scorsese on “Silence.” She is ranked fourth in our prediction center in the Film Editing Oscar race. She’s won all three of her Oscars for Scorsese films (“Raging Bull,” 1981; “The Aviator,” 2004; “The Departed,” 2006), having first prevailed at the ACE Eddie Awards. She also took home an Eddie for “The Gangs of New York” in 2002.

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Last year, two of the Oscar nominees for Best Film Editing — “Mad Max: Fury Road” and “The Big Short” — prevailed here first, winning the drama and comedy Eddie awards. Eventual Oscar champ “Mad Max: Fury Road” edged out two Oscar rivals — “The Revenant” and “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” — as well as “The Martian” and “Sicario.” “The Big Short” prevailed over “Ant-Man,” “Joy,” “Me and Earl and the Dying Girl” and “Trainwreck.” The fifth Oscar nominee — “Spotlight” — was snubbed by the guild.

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In 2014, all five Oscar nominees first reaped Eddie bids: eventual Oscar champ “Whiplash” as well as ACE champs “Boyhood” and “Grand Budapest,” plus “American Sniper” and “The Imitation Game.” In 2013 four of the Eddie nominees made the cut at the Oscars (“Dallas Buyers Club” got the fifth slot). In both 2012 and in 2011 five of the Eddie nominees comprised the Oscar slate. In 2010, four Eddie nominees contended at the Oscars (“127 Hours” got the fifth slot) while in 2009, only three of five ACE drama nominees — “Avatar,” “District 9” and “The Hurt Locker” — reaped Oscar bids with “Inglorious Basterds” and “Precious” added to the mix.

Predict the Oscar nominations now; change them until January 24

Be sure to make your Oscar predictionsWeigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how this film is faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on January 24 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.


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