Alexander Skarsgard (“Big Little Lies”): 4 reasons why he will win close Emmy race

Alexander Skarsgard (“Big Little Lies”) is locked in a tight race for Best TV Movie/Limited Series Supporting Actor. That he is ahead at all is surprising with the three strikes against him: he plays an abusive husband, the other nominees are better known, and he’s handsome, which tends to work against actors at these awards.

But I believe he will win on Sept. 17 for the following four reasons:

1. Vote Splitting X 2
Two sets of co-stars number among the rival nominees: Alfred Molina and Stanley Tucci from “Feud: Bette and Joan” and Bill Camp and Michael Kenneth Williams from “The Night Of.” Each of these four has the same problem: he is not the clear choice over his co-star. When Sterling K. Brown prevailed over his co-stars from “The People v. O.J. Simpson, John Travolta and David Schwimmer, he was the clear favorite in order to win.

2. “Fargo” has NEVER won an acting award
The sixth nominee is David Thewlis from “Fargo.” Unlike Skarskgard, who is an outright villain, Thewlis plays the winking devil that voters love to reward. However, in its first two seasons “Fargo” has racked up eight Emmy nominations for acting without a win. In 2014, both Billy Bob Thornton and Martin Freeman lost lead to Benedict Cumberbatch (“Sherlock”); Colin Hanks lost supporting to Freeman (“Sherlock”) and breakout star Allison Tolman lost supporting to Kathy Bates (“American Horror Story: Coven”). Last year,  Kirsten Dunst lost in lead to Sarah Paulson (“The People v. O.J. Simpson”), Jesse Plemons and Bokeen Woodbine lost in supporting to Brown (“The People v. O.J. Simpson”), and Emmy favorite Jean Smart lost in supporting to Regina King (“American Crime”).

3. He’s an HBO veteran and has a well-known last name
Skarsgard first came to fame in the HBO miniseries “Generation Kill” back in 2009. He then broke out as the scene-stealing bad-vampire Eric on HBO’s hit series “True Blood.” During the second season his storyline was enhanced and the series earned a Best Drama Series Emmy nomination (2010). And he is also the son of respected veteran actor Stellan Skarsgard, one of Sweden’s great exports.

4. He held his own against Nicole Kidman.
In his submission “Living the Dream” his character, Perry, attends a counseling session with his wife Celeste (Kidman) after one of his violent outbursts. Viewers see his vulnerability and fear of losing his ideal life and wife and how that insecurity drives him. The actor adds depth and layers to his character.

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on September 17. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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