Oscar frontrunner “La La Land” is predicted to win a jaw-dropping nine awards at the BAFTAs on Sunday including Best Picture according to experts’ picks at Gold Derby. The timing couldn’t be better for Damien Chazelle‘s musical romp as final Oscar voting begins the following day. With odds of 2/9, “La La Land” is well ahead of “Moonlight” (13/2) in the top race. And while Chazelle is all but certain to win Best Director as well, he is likely to lose the original screenplay race to Kenneth Longeran, who both wrote and directed “Manchester by the Sea.”
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That film’s star, Casey Affleck, is the clear frontrunner to win Best Actor with odds of 2/9. His main Oscar rival, Denzel Washington (“Fences”), was snubbed by the British academy though that film’s Viola Davis is way ahead in the supporting actress race.
The seven Experts predicting a win for Affleck are: Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Indiewire) and Brian Truitt (USA Today). One expert, Tariq Khan (Fox News), backs the bid by British actor Andrew Garfield in Mel Gibson‘s comeback picture “Hacksaw Ridge.” That lone vote him odds of 6/1 to pull off an upset.
BAFTA Awards nominations:
Oscar frontrunner ‘La La Land’ dominates with 11
Likewise, “La La Land” ingenue Emma Stone is expected to trounce the competition with seven experts in her corner versus just one for Natalie Portman (“Jackie”). See how the experts rank all the BAFTA nominees according to likelihood of winning.
“La La Land” is also predicted to win these six BAFTAs: cinematography, costume design, film editing, production design, score and sound.
Who do you predict will win the top BAFTA categories? Make your predictions at Gold Derby where you can win prizes (including $100 Amazon gift certificate) if you beat the experts and achieve the best score.
UPDATED: BAFTA odds in 21 hottest races
Below are the experts’ odds in the top six BAFTA categories. See more.
BEST PICTURE
“La La Land” – 2/9
“Moonlight” – 13/2
“Arrival” – 50/1
“Manchester by the Sea” – 50/1
“I, Daniel Blake” – 66/1
BEST DIRECTOR
Damien Chazelle, “La La Land” – 1/10
Denis Villeneuve, “Arrival” – 40/1
Ken Loach, “I, Daniel Blake” – 50/1
Kenneth Lonergan, “Manchester by the Sea” – 50/1
Tom Ford, “Nocturnal Animals” – 100/1
BEST ACTOR
Casey Affleck, “Manchester by the Sea” – 2/10
Andrew Garfield, “Hacksaw Ridge” – 6/1
Ryan Gosling, “La La Land” – 50/1
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Nocturnal Animals” – 80/1
Viggo Mortensen, “Captain Fantastic” – 80/1
BEST ACTRESS
Emma Stone, “La La Land” – 2/9
Natalie Portman, “Jackie” – 6/1
Amy Adams, “Arrival” – 50/1
Emily Blunt, “The Girl on the Train” – 66/1
Meryl Streep, “Florence Foster Jenkins” – 66/1
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BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight” – 7/4
Dev Patel, “Lion” – 9/5
Hugh Grant, “Florence Foster Jenkins” – 13/2
Aaron Taylor-Johnson, “Nocturnal Animals” – 13/2
Jeff Bridges, “Hell or High Water” – 66/1
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Viola Davis, “Fences” – 2/9
Naomie Harris, “Moonlight” – 13/2
Michelle Williams, “Manchester by the Sea” – 40/1
Nicole Kidman, “Lion” – 66/1
Hayley Squires, “I, Daniel Blake” – 66/1
Predict the BAFTA winners now; change them till February 12
Be sure to make your BAFTA predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films are faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before winners are announced on February 12. And join in the fierce debate over the BAFTAs and Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.
