Beyonce already has a secure place in the Grammy history books. She has more nominations than any other female artist, and with 20 wins to date she’s the second most awarded woman in Grammy history, behind only Alison Krauss with 27. Queen Bey set another record in 2009 when she won six awards in one night, a record for a female artist. Adele tied that record in 2011. But according to our savvy readers, she won’t break that record. That’s according to our recent poll.
Beyonce is nominated for nine awards. If she wins all nine she will set a new record for the most victories in one night for an artist of any gender, topping the eight awards won by Michael Jackson in 1983 and Santana in 1999. If she can win at least seven she’ll set a new record for the most wins in one year by a woman — not to mention tie Krauss as the Grammys’ most awarded woman ever.
But most of our readers don’t expect that to happen. 41% of respondents say she won’t win any more than five of her nominations, while another 19% think she’ll tie her own record with six wins, but won’t exceed it — that’s 60% of readers who think the record will remain intact.
That leaves a full 40% of readers think Beyonce will set a new record for women: nearly a quarter (24%) say she will win seven times, while 9% expect her to tie the all-time one-year win record with eight, and 7% say she’ll go nine-for-nine, making history as the biggest winner ever in a single evening.
But what to our racetrack odds currently say? We’re predicting 32 categories at the Grammys, including all nine where Beyonce competes, and if our predictions hold true those 41% of readers will be proven right. She’s tipped to win five races: Album of the Year, Best Urban Contemporary Album and Best Music Film (“Lemonade”); Best Rap/Sung Performance (“Freedom” with Kendrick Lamar); and Best Music Video (“Formation”).
Elsewhere, “Formation” ranks second to Adele‘s “Hello” for Record and Song of the Year. Beyonce’s “Hold Up” ranks second to “Hello” for Best Pop Solo Performance. And Beyonce’s “Don’t Hurt Yourself” (with Jack White) ranks third for Best Rock Performance, with David Bowie forecast to win for “Blackstar.”
What do you think of Beyonce’s chances of setting a new record? Check out our poll results below, and you can keep voting here.
Gold Derby readers just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your forecasts as often as you like before winner are announced on Feb. 12. Just click “Save” when you’ve settled on your choices. You’ll compete to win a $100 Amazon gift certificate, bragging rights and a place of honor on our leaderboard. Our racetrack odds change as you make your predictions, just as they do when you bet on the Emmys, Oscars, Golden Globes and more. Be sure to read our contest rules and sound off on the Grammy race in our music forum.