Hey, Caitriona Balfe: You’re coming off your strongest season yet on Starz’s “Outlander,” and now you’re my pick to win the Golden Globe on Sunday, January 8. If you look at the combined predictions at Gold Derby, you’ll see that you have 18/1 racetrack odds to win, but I think those odds should be even higher. Below, see my four reasons why I’m predicting you to win the Golden Globe for Best TV Drama Actress.
1. Golden Globes love new blood.
With last year’s Globe winner Taraji P. Henson (“Empire”) snubbed this year, that leaves the door open for someone new to win this race. And the Globes are infamous for honoring new blood each year. Of the four other nominees in Balfe’s category, Keri Russell (“The Americans”) is a previous winner for “Felicity” (1998) while Winona Ryder (“Stranger Things”) won for “The Age of Innocence” (1993). That leaves only Balfe, Claire Foy (“The Crown”) and Evan Rachel Wood (“Westworld”) as potential first-time champs.
2. She has worldwide appeal.
Remember, these awards are given out by the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. That’s key because the people voting for the Globes love to trumpet hot stars like Irish-born Balfe for their media outlets across the world. Just like her “Outlander” co-star Sam Heughan (who strangely was snubbed), Balfe has a huge worldwide audience that will no doubt help increase clicks and sales for the voters’ various entertainment shows, websites and magazines. It’s a no-brainer.
3. The Globes love Starz.
Remember when Jacqueline Bisset surprised by winning for “Dancing on the Edge” (2013) or when Kelsey Grammer took home the Globe for “Boss” (2011) for a performance that the Emmys would later snub? Both projects aired on Starz, which is a favorite of Globes voters who are notorious for spreading the wealth among networks. This year, Starz only contends for a pair of nominations: Balfe and Riley Keough (“The Girlfriend Experience”). Since Sarah Paulson (“The People v. O.J. Simpson”) is widely considered a lock in Keough’s category of Best Limited Series Actress, that leaves Balfe as the only place where voters can honor Starz.
4. She simply gave the best performance.
Taking all of the other reasons out of play for a moment, I believe Bale will win the Golden Globe because she simply gave the best performance. Not to take anything away from the other four women in the category, but when it comes to impact, range and emotion, Balfe was the Best TV Drama Actress of 2016. If anyone doesn’t believe me, just watch the episode “Faith.” It’s a gut-wrenching hour and easily her best performance in the entire history of “Outlander.”
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