‘Dancing with the Stars’ elimination predictions: What are the odds of a shocking Simone Biles ouster?

Simone Biles started season 24 of “Dancing with the Stars” as the frontrunner to win the Mirror Ball Trophy, and she stayed on top of our predictions for weeks. But could she now be at risk of a shocking elimination? “DWTS” is down to is final four contestants, but there’s a possibility that the Olympic gold medal-winning gymnast will fall short when the finalists are announced tonight.

But most of our users who have made their predictions at Gold Derby say that baseball player David Ross will be the one eliminated despite exceeding expectations all season long. He’s the first baseball player ever to compete on the show, and he’s the oldest contestant remaining at age 40. Thanks to his genial personality and charisma on the dance floor he has outlasted higher-scoring celebs like actress Heather Morris (eighth place) and figure skater Nancy Kerrigan (tied for sixth place). He has gotten enough support from fans to keep him in the competition this long, but now we think he has reached his limit. As of this writing he gets overwhelming 2/7 odds of elimination, which translates to a 77% chance of exiting the show just short of the finish line — or to be consistent with sports metaphors, he’s about to be tagged out at home plate.

But Biles still finds herself vulnerable. Though Ross finished last on the judges’ leaderboard last week, Biles finished second from the bottom after she was criticized for a lack of emotional connection to her dances. Biles scored seven points higher than Ross overall (72 to 65), but Ross has demonstrated in the past that he’s capable of overcoming lower scores with fan votes. So Biles ranks second in our elimination predictions with odds of 11/1 (9% chance of going home).

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Singer Normani Kordei ranks third in our predictions with 16/1 odds (6% chance of going home) even though she got the top score last week. Since the judges’ scores account for half of the results, it seems mathematically unlikely that she would have so few viewer votes that she’d be eliminated, especially after delivering such a talked-about contemporary routine.

Football player Rashad Jennings also gets 16/1 odds (nearly 6% chance of going home). He finished second in the judges’ scores last week, so our users think he’s likely to advance to the finals.

Below, check out our latest predictions for who will be eliminated on “Dancing with the Stars.” Click on the chart for more detailed stats:

dancing with the stars dwts elimination predictions week 9 semifinals

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Gold Derby readers just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your forecasts throughout the week, just click “Save” when you’ve settled on your choices. You’ll compete to win a $100 Amazon gift certificate, bragging rights and a place of honor on our leaderboard. Our racetrack odds change as you make your predictions, just as they do when you bet on the Emmys, Oscars, Golden Globes and more. Be sure to read our contest rules and sound off on the season of “Dancing with the Stars” in our reality TV forum. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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