Emmy predictions 2017: Jeffrey Tambor & Donald Glover are neck-and-neck for Best Comedy Actor

According to Gold Derby’s early 2017 Emmy predictions for Best Comedy Actor, Jeffrey Tambor (“Transparent”) is going to win his third consecutive Emmy for playing Maura Pfefferman in Amazon’s family dramedy. However, he should watch out for Donald Glover (“Atlanta”), the star of the season’s biggest breakout comedy which Glover also created, writes, directs and produces. See more contenders below and then be sure to make or update your Emmy predictions before the nominations are announced July 13.

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Tambor leads the Best Comedy Actor race with overall odds of 11/5 based on Gold Derby’s racetrack odds that combine the predictions of our website Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who did the best at predicting last year’s noms, the All-Star Users who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ nominations, and everyday Users like you. Soon, we’ll also feature the predictions of Emmy Experts from major media outlets, but they haven’t piped in quite yet.

Glover is in second place with 3/1 odds, and the margin is razor-thin when you consider that he and Tambor have almost equal support from our Editors, Top 24 Users, All-Star Top 24, and overall Users (see the complete breakdown here). Despite appearing in the critically acclaimed cult-hit comedy series “Community” for several seasons Glover has never been nominated for an Emmy Award, but he’s the reigning Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice winner for Best Comedy Actor for his role as Earn, a college dropout who hopes to manage his cousin’s burgeoning hip-hop music career. Glover has also won a Producers Guild Award and two Writers Guild Awards for the freshman series.

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Anthony Anderson (“Black-ish”) ranks third with 10/3 odds for his role as Dre Johnson, an ad exec raising four kids and expecting a fifth. He’s aiming for his first win in this category after two straight nominations. Last year he was also nominated for Best Comedy Series as a producer of the ABC family sitcom, and since then the show has only gotten stronger on the awards circuit. Now into its third season it earned Anderson his first Golden Globe nomination earlier this year as well as two SAG nominations for Best Comedy Actor and Best Comedy Ensemble. And he was also up for a Producers Guild Award, which as mentioned above went to Glover’s “Atlanta.”

Next up with odds of 4/1 is William H. Macy (“Shameless”), who is the biggest awards darling among our top six predicted contenders. He has earned three consecutive nominations for his role as alcoholic dad Frank Gallagher, which brings his career total to 12 Emmy noms, including two wins as the lead actor and co-writer of the 2002 TV movie “Door to Door.” He also just won his second SAG Award in three years for “Shameless,” and he’s a past Oscar nominee for “Fargo.” Never count him out.

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Aziz Ansari (“Master of None”) ranks fifth with 9/2 odds. Like Glover he spent years on another popular comedy series (“Parks and Recreation”), but he didn’t get the TV academy’s attention until he created a show of his own. He earned his first nomination for Best Comedy Actor last year, and on top of that he contended three more times as a writer, director and producer of the Netflix series, in which he plays struggling New York actor Dev. He won the writing award, and now he’s attempting to add an acting prize to his growing awards collection.

Rounding out our top six predicted nominees is Thomas Middleditch (“Silicon Valley”) for his role as programming whiz Richard Hendricks, who has been struggling to launch a tech company. He gets 5/1 odds. “Silicon Valley” has been nominated for Best Comedy Series for the last three years in a row, but lead actor Middleditch didn’t break through until 2016, so he’s hoping to build on that momentum this year with his first win.

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Following those six contenders on our Best Comedy Actor chart are Will Forte (“The Last Man on Earth”) in seventh place with 15/2 odds, Martin Short (“Maya and Marty”) in eighth place with 15/2 odds, Jim Parsons (“The Big Bang Theory”) in ninth place with 8/1 odds and Timothy Olyphant (“Santa Clarita Diet”) in 10th place with 16/1 odds.

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums.

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