As of this writing we’ve polled 18 TV journalists from top media outlets for their Emmy picks, and five of them predict “Atlanta” will prevail on its first bid. Among the other freshman series to win TV’s top honor were: “All in the Family” (1971), “Taxi” (1979), “Cheers” (1983), “The Cosby Show” (1985), “The Golden Girls” (1986), “The Wonder Years” (1988), “Frasier” (1994), “Arrested Development” (2004), “30 Rock” (2007) and “Modern Family” (2010).
“Atlanta” is coming off wins with two of the top guilds — the PGA and WGA — as well as victories at the Golden Globes for both the show and its star, Donald Glover. This talented multi-hyphenate also created this FX comedy series, wrote four of the 10 episodes and even directed one of them.
The five experts predicting a win for “Atlanta” are: Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times).
However, a dozen of our 18 experts are sticking with “Veep,” which has won this category for two years running. They know that TV academy voters love reruns in this race. Indeed, many of the series listed above that won for their first seasons went on to win for at least their second seasons if not more. “Frasier” and “Modern Family” had five-year winning streaks, “All in the Family,” “Taxi” and “30 Rock” won three in a row, and “Cheers” and “The Golden Girls” had back-to-back wins.
The 12 experts backing a three-peat for “Veep” are: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Pete Hammond (Deadline), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).
One expert, Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), is opting for “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt,” which has lost to “Veep” for each of its first two seasons. However, “Get Smart” won the first of its two consecutive Comedy Series awards for its third season as did “Sex and the City.”
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.