Hey, Gerald McRaney: Is your Emmy speech ready yet for “This Is Us”? According to Gold Derby’s Emmy experts, McRaney will prevail on his first career nomination this year for playing Dr. Nathan Katowski, otherwise known as Dr. K, on NBC’s family drama. You read that right — McRaney has never been nominated at the Emmys despite working in television for many decades. While he’s currently out front to win, our experts warn that the race for Best Drama Guest Actor is far from over.
As of this writing we’ve polled nine TV journalists from top media outlets and these four think McRaney will prevail: Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Robert Rorke (New York Post) and Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine). McRaney has submitted “The Big Day” for Emmy consideration. Emmy ballot synopsis: Dr. K’s life is put on full display for all to see. His love and great loss of his late wife is almost overwhelming, until the fateful beeper goes off where he needs to go deliver Jack and Rebecca Pearson’s babies.
A pair of prognosticators predict that Hank Azaria will win again for his recurring role on Showtime’s “Ray Donovan”: Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Adnan Virk (ESPN). Azaria is an Emmy magnet with prior victories as Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actor for “Tuesdays With Morrie” (2000) and four for his voice-over work on “The Simpsons” (2015, 2003, 2001, 1998). “Norman Saves The World” is Azaria’s episode submission for “Ray Donovan.” Emmy ballot synopsis: Ed Cochran, a disgraced former FBI agent, is offered one million dollars by Ray to get Mickey released from prison. Ed presents the DA with evidence against TV star Sherman Radley that could influence the DA to release Mickey, but he attempts to betray Ray in the process.
Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) thinks that Brian Tyree Henry (“This Is Us”) will take home his first trophy. Henry is having the greatest year of his career thanks to his guest gig on NBC’s “This Is Us” as lounge singer Ricky and his regular role on FX’s “Atlanta” where he plays rapper Paper Boi. His submission is the popular episode “Memphis.” Emmy ballot synopsis: Randall and William take a road trip to Memphis, where Randall learns about William’s past.
Lynn Elber (Associated Press) opts for David Strathairn (“Billions”) to win his first Emmy after previously being nominated at the Oscars as Best Actor for “Good Night, and Good Luck” (2005). “The Kingmaker” is Strathairn’s official episode entry. Emmy ballot synopsis: “Black” Jack Foley, a steel tycoon, political influencer and friend of Chuck Sr., torpedoes Axe’s Sandicot deal to help Chuck in his bid for Governor. After a tense meeting at his home with Axe, Foley later throws a party where he gives Chuck his full support for Governor.
The remaining expert — Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes) — is forecasting yet another “This Is Us” guest star, Denis O’Hare. As Jessie, the longtime lover of cancer-stricken William (Ron Cephas Jones), O’Hare is hoping to earn his third career Emmy nom after “American Horror Story” in 2012 and 2015. He’s being judged on the episode “Last Christmas.” Emmy ballot synopsis: The Pearson family finds themselves at the hospital on Christmas Eve after little Kate comes down with appendicitis. Kevin celebrates Hanukkah with Sloane and her family, Kate continues to pursue her big surgery and someone from William’s past reappears in his life.
None of our Emmy seers are currently predicting a victory for any other Best Drama Guest Actor hopefuls, but seven out of nine believe that Ben Mendelsohn will earn a bid for the final season of “Bloodline” after winning in the supporting race just last year. Mendelsohn returns as deceased brother Danny Rayburn and has submitted the episode “Part 32.” Emmy ballot synopsis: Through flashbacks, the black sheep of the family continues to be a core component of the familial drama as his memory haunts the guilt-riddled Rayburns until the bitter end.
Four Emmy journalists have Dylan Baker getting nominated once again for his role as the criminally entertaining Colin Sweeney. He was nominated thrice for CBS’s “The Good Wife” (2010, 2012, 2014) and now contends for the CBS All Access spinoff series “The Good Fight.” His episode entry is “Self Condemned.” Emmy ballot synopsis: Diane and Adrian find themselves involved in another police brutality case, this time representing a surprising but familiar face, Colin Sweeney.
Though he was snubbed last year, three Emmy seers now back a nomination for “Mr. Robot” guest star BD Wong for his mysterious role of Whiterose. The episode titled “eps2.3_logic-b0mb.hc” is Wong’s awards submission. Emmy ballot synopsis: Whiterose is the leader of the Dark Army, a Chinese-based hacking organization. Secretive, controlling, and self-protective, Whiterose is obsessed with the concept of time. As fsociety deals with the consequences of the five/nine hack, Whiterose moves forward with plans for Phase II.
Rounding out our experts’ likely nominees for Best Drama Guest Actor, five men have the support of one Emmy guru apiece: Orlando Jones (“American Gods”), Peter Stormare (“American Gods”), John Cameron Mitchell (“The Good Fight”), Matthew Perry (“The Good Fight”) and Lars Mikkelsen (“House of Cards”). See the experts’ combined racetrack odds in 24 Emmy categories.
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.