Emmy voting began on Monday, June 12, and according to our Experts’ latest predictions, “Veep” is pulling farther ahead in the race for Best Comedy Series. We’ve polled 18 TV journalists from top media outlets, and as of this writing 12 of them are predicting a third straight win for the HBO political satire.
The dozen experts currently forecasting a “Veep” three-peat are Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Pete Hammond (Deadline), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Ken Tucker (Yahoo), Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).
Emmy voters love repeat winners. In fact, in the last 10 years of Best Comedy Series, only three shows have won: “30 Rock” (2007-2009), “Modern Family” (2010-2014) and “Veep” (2015-2016). So it’s reasonable to believe that “Veep” will continue its winning streak uninterrupted. On top of Emmy voters’ fondness for repeat winners, “Veep” could also get a boost from parallels to the absurd politics of the real world. Then again, “Veep” might seem tame compared to the actual political climate.
But five Experts are still betting on a victory by upstart FX comedy “Atlanta,” which debuted last fall to rapturous reviews: Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times).
Emmy voters are often slow to embrace new shows, but there’s good reason to believe “Atlanta” will be an exception to that rule. Consider how well it did during the winter awards season. It won the Golden Globe for Best TV Comedy Series, which isn’t unusual since Globe voters can’t resist a cool new show. But then “Atlanta” swept through a number of key industry awards, winning Best Comedy Series from the Producers Guild and Writers Guild and earning a nomination from the Directors Guild. It was overlooked by the SAG Awards, but that’s rarely a fatal blow: the SAG Awards have been late to the party with other shows like “Homeland” and “Transparent” that nevertheless scored top Emmy nominations and wins for their first seasons.
Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly) is the sole expert currently predicting a victory for the Netflix series “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt.” It has been nominated for Best Comedy Series for the last two years and has 11 Emmy nominations overall, and it was created by nine-time Emmy winner Tina Fey and three-time Emmy winner Robert Carlock (“30 Rock”), so it has the right Emmy pedigree, but it has yet to win in any category. However, the show premiered its third season in May, which will keep it fresh in voters’ minds, and Netflix announced a fourth season renewal just as voting started, so this may be its best chance yet.
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums.